South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Internacional vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaa60d75410dd7028f189d25405cab889be80a4c4c29713dc2d65ae7496c2051
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 1,696$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.63 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 56c | 1,213$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.16 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 42c | 1,149$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.6 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 37c | 1,040$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.88 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 929.87$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.41 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 55c | 835.65$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.91 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 42c | 574.52$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.3 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…9089backed Under | 59c | 413.31$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Over | 12c | 403.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 356.72$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.71 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 42c | 353.91$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.64 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 38c | 295.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.67 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 44c | 210.77$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.74 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0988…f6f9backed Over | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 60c | 198.04$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 44c | 185.65$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 54c | 173.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 150.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 121.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 38c | 115.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 63c | 104.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 37c | 104.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 55c | 87.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 40c | 86.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 44c | 79.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Over | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 38c | 63.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 35c | 55.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Over | 34c | 52.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…4587backed Over | 40c | 51.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 54c | 42.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4693…bf61backed Over | 47c | 35.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…1106backed Over | 42c | 34.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Under | 56c | 33.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 62c | 24.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e1…2749backed Under | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Internacional vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Internacional vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Internacional vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-2.5)SC Internacional won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.