Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mexico win on 2026-05-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd64eb22f3cded78a9758ce416cee2de2398946b5bb03654f400ad308127abf39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked No | 14c | 12,932$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 12c | 8,131$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.52 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 19c | 2,461$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.41 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 9c | 2,228$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.33 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 12c | 1,069$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.32 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 70c | 900$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 29c | 863.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.72 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 12c | 685.84$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 29c | 499.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…2640backed No | 24c | 499.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Yes | 75c | 498.67$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 28c | 422.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 71c | 421.8$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 36c | 415.61$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.53 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 12c | 384.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 12c | 308.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes | 64c | 304.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.55 | 210 | 46.7%98 W · 112 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06aa…fbf3backed Yes | 72c | 276.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 129 | 58.9%76 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…9430backed Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 12c | 260.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 73c | 258.26$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Yes | 75c | 224$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes | 75c | 206.67$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 70c | 195.06$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…4171backed No | 31c | 187.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 14c | 158.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 24c | 141.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 73c | 136.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…ea73backed No | 21c | 133.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 107 | 32.7%35 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…f8ddbacked Yes | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 32c | 119.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Yes | 76c | 110.53$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x107b…38f9backed Yes | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 25c | 93.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 76c | 89.57$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 30c | 86.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 74c | 72.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…e2c2backed Yes | 70c | 71.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…4a3abacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2b…88b1backed Yes | 76c | 65.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 21c | 64.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78f…cf9bbacked No | 31c | 63.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…3265backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…6ab2backed Yes | 70c | 57.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…bdf0backed Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…a4d7backed Yes | 76c | 52.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 65c | 48.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…c040backed No | 31c | 47.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 25c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 25c | 41.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 25c | 40.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4172…a77dbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 74c | 37.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672c…ba3bbacked Yes | 75c | 35.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf24…a5f3backed Yes | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 65c | 31.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f96backed Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8a…23d0backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…e1fbbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe002…33e3backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…49fdbacked Yes | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…aa96backed Yes | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fc…10c8backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…517cbacked Yes | 75c | 19.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 71c | 17.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mexico win on 2026-05-22?this page
- Will Ghana win on 2026-05-22?No won
- Will Mexico vs. Ghana end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.