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Tennis · resolved market

Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Matteo Berrettini: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Under 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,215

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,717 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c76…c926backed Under 3.531c16,179$5,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,175.644,09039.8%1,628 W · 2,462 L+95.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over 3.569c7,246$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00057949.6%287 W · 292 L-32.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over 3.567c3,323$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.1114452.1%75 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under 3.533c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,01068935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed Over 3.569c1,971$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.8316961.5%104 W · 65 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over 3.568c1,829$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.621,05450.2%529 W · 525 L+38.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under 3.532c1,569$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.0243142%181 W · 250 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62bc…e198backed Over 3.569c1,484$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over 3.570c1,433$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012554.4%68 W · 57 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over 3.521c1,386$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.1126455.3%146 W · 118 L+37.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+25.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Under 3.531c1,294$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.573036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.531c1,035$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.077,77447.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L+40.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Over 3.538c1,012$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.551,74250.2%875 W · 867 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under 3.530c999.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.983,89135%1,362 W · 2,529 L+93.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under 3.532c839.12$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.623945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over 3.569c811.59$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5608853.4%47 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under 3.532c804.82$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.2524837.1%92 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over 3.569c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50045957.5%264 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f8…27f1backed Over 3.569c651.87$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.79944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under 3.531c619.93$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.759843.9%43 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Over 3.569c554$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.266051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Over 3.569c462$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.7839152.2%204 W · 187 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over 3.559c438.61$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.019,40644.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L-245.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x745d…e109backed Over 3.570c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over 3.570c421.43$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29579855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Over 3.569c373$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.3710658.5%62 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Over 3.569c369$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.6115754.8%86 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ac…841ebacked Over 3.550c360$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-55.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa070…c103backed Over 3.569c296.46$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.566051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Over 3.569c296$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.249151.6%47 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Under 3.534c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.127,12939.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L-14.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41fe…644fbacked Under 3.541c276.85$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under 3.531c276$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.447,20149.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L+114.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Over 3.569c268$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9218850%94 W · 94 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed Over 3.568c249.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9912850.8%65 W · 63 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under 3.532c240$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.292138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Under 3.558c234.76$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.621448.1%103 W · 111 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Over 3.567c222.22$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15034957.6%201 W · 148 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Over 3.568c220.59$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15046562.6%291 W · 174 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9565…9ea9backed Over 3.569c216.26$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba3e…4cbcbacked Over 3.570c215.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503063.3%19 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over 3.568c205.88$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under 3.531c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13887135.4%308 W · 563 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Over 3.549c199.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,78848.8%872 W · 916 L+31.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Over 3.568c194.12$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13230258.6%177 W · 125 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Over 3.569c185$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6527057.8%156 W · 114 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…d3fdbacked Over 3.569c185$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.653650%18 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Over 3.569c178$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8258553%310 W · 275 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Over 3.569c172.02$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.773748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Over 3.569c171.74$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.114440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92e6…8222backed Over 3.549c168.82$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.23759.5%22 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under 3.532c160.66$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2558745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over 3.569c152.17$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10532554.2%176 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x741a…b692backed Over 3.569c147.83$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Over 3.569c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10049943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x25e6…0896backed Over 3.569c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Over 3.570c139.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9825751.8%133 W · 124 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over 3.538c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424c…82b5backed Over 3.569c122$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.188555.3%47 W · 38 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Over 3.570c118$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.634860.3%210 W · 138 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under 3.530c113.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.333,27940.3%1,322 W · 1,957 L+24.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a2…bcd1backed Over 3.570c111.1$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.772832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf55f…b083backed Over 3.569c111$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07d1…439ebacked Over 3.569c111$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.598755.2%48 W · 39 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8db6…8679backed Over 3.569c109.32$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Over 3.569c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6922359.6%133 W · 90 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under 3.532c90$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.238947.3%184 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under 3.532c81$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0850951.3%261 W · 248 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under 3.530c80.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.631,54249.2%759 W · 783 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d6…551abacked Over 3.568c79.41$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548356.6%47 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under 3.533c75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2586850.2%436 W · 432 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd9f…f8ddbacked Over 3.567c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.252254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over 3.569c73.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.423653.4%126 W · 110 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Over 3.569c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502560%15 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Over 3.569c71.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.62,63946.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Over 3.569c68.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3519856.1%111 W · 87 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under 3.556c68.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0284640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53fc…d6fabacked Over 3.569c67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.235337.7%20 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe025…eb6bbacked Over 3.569c66.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e9e…3fbabacked Over 3.568c64.41$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.81127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed Under 3.532c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.514349%70 W · 73 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e4…c62abacked Under 3.532c55.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.694652.2%24 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+39.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under 3.532c51.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0638741.1%159 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Over 3.538c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1919745.7%90 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under 3.532c49.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9983747.6%398 W · 439 L-2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Under 3.531c49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8135641.3%147 W · 209 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e4…4d8cbacked Over 3.569c40.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283969.2%27 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Over 3.567c39.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.791855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f65…38bfbacked Over 3.569c38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2213466.4%89 W · 45 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabe7…24a0backed Over 3.569c38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.225364.2%34 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91df…fd49backed Over 3.568c36.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254763.8%30 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1096…c209backed Over 3.569c36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa76…ca4fbacked Over 3.569c31.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.07650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb08d…0070backed Over 3.570c31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Over 3.569c30.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2144051.6%227 W · 213 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6e…6dc3backed Over 3.568c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0351…d8e8backed Over 3.568c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+59.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52ab…ecebbacked Over 3.569c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1488…409dbacked Over 3.569c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x656e…27a7backed Over 3.570c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.