Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc58d103d5a02edbf274fb2c873f0fd9334256329918a1bae57a9159b6ff2124
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Berrettiniof Berrettini, Cerundolo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1467…4372backed Cerundolo | 57c | 4,500$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.96 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Berrettini | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.98 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac1…3176backed Berrettini | 47c | 1,707$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.82 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Cerundolo | 57c | 1,520$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.25 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Berrettini | 43c | 1,361$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.04 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Berrettini | 44c | 1,055$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.76 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…5442backed Cerundolo | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Berrettini | 42c | 825.86$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…1fe3backed Cerundolo | 57c | 685.44$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +73%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Berrettini | 43c | 600.27$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.15 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Berrettini | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 132 | 37.9%50 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Cerundolo | 56c | 480.59$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.26 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…ad68backed Cerundolo | 58c | 362.07$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Cerundolo | 57c | 348.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Cerundolo | 53c | 344.69$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.01 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Berrettini | 43c | 309.3$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.3 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Cerundolo | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Berrettini | 59c | 229.72$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…fb48backed Berrettini | 43c | 227.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.63 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Cerundolo | 56c | 222.04$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 149 | 33.6%50 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed Berrettini | 43c | 221.58$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.3 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…31dcbacked Cerundolo | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…0896backed Cerundolo | 58c | 190.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Berrettini | 42c | 181.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.07 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Cerundolo | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | -11.2wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Cerundolo | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cerundolo | 36c | 117.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Cerundolo | 38c | 105.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Cerundolo | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Berrettini | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Cerundolo | 39c | 99.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d40…b4ecbacked Berrettini | 44c | 81.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Berrettini | 43c | 76.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Berrettini | 43c | 73.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Cerundolo | 54c | 70.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55d…6984backed Cerundolo | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Berrettini | 43c | 57.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Cerundolo | 56c | 51.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Berrettini | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Cerundolo | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Cerundolo | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Berrettini | 43c | 47.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Berrettini | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Berrettini | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Cerundolo | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ea…e966backed Berrettini | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)this page
- Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Matteo Berrettini: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Matteo Berrettini: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo BerrettiniMatteo Berrettini won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs BerrettiniBerrettini won
- Set Handicap: Berrettini (-2.5) vs Cerundolo (+2.5)Berrettini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.