Tennis · resolved market
Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 36.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x671efc66103103a2db1384bf0cc576123847c0344847f9abdc92c64003eb38b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over | 62c | 2,622$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.73 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 38c | 945.95$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.43 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 58c | 810.27$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…acbbbacked Over | 63c | 788.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 39c | 659.35$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.42 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 36c | 657.82$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.29 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Under | 45c | 564.44$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.44 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 38c | 560.54$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.58 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 45c | 545.65$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.8 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Over | 62c | 544.35$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Under | 44c | 323.09$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.21 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 38c | 300$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 57c | 260.12$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.41 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 62c | 208.54$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 42c | 170.37$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.86 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 45c | 151.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 45c | 109.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…c602backed Over | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 58c | 102.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 61c | 100.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 56c | 91.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Over | 62c | 87.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 39c | 80.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Over | 58c | 71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 44c | 64.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 39c | 55.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Under | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…e8b8backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -8.1wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…d117backed Over | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…303fbacked Over | 65c | 30.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 54c | 30.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 56c | 25.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 36.5this page
- Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Matteo Berrettini: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Matteo Berrettini: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo BerrettiniMatteo Berrettini won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs BerrettiniBerrettini won
- Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)Berrettini won
- Set Handicap: Berrettini (-2.5) vs Cerundolo (+2.5)Berrettini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.