Tennis · resolved market
Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 38.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1d4549b2c32d857474c156fb9caf42f89469d8d7f6d5f0a5d16a8ff207bed8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…8038backed Over | 54c | 26,074$14,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,079.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 46c | 25,132$11,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,571.26 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 56c | 5,362$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 3,653$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.56 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 44c | 1,688$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.55 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Over | 56c | 1,645$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.73 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 45c | 1,444$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.18 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 46c | 1,238$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.51 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff8…5fd6backed Under | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…b3c7backed Over | 55c | 912.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -8.0wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -73%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 800.56$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.77 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Over | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Over | 54c | 439.88$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.25 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 55c | 438.59$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.22 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 43c | 421.81$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.43 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 43c | 402$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.14 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 391.84$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.51 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Over | 55c | 360.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Over | 57c | 349.12$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 42c | 331.19$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.09 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 45c | 309.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.94 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 55c | 280$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 45c | 280$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 46c | 222.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Under | 46c | 215.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.27 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Over | 55c | 181.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…fc6fbacked Over | 54c | 155.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 46c | 152$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 46c | 150.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Under | 45c | 136.36$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 56c | 105.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Over | 55c | 101.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 78.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 46c | 73.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 46c | 73.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Over | 57c | 72.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…4fc0backed Over | 55c | 63.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -19.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 56c | 53.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Over | 55c | 52.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 357 | 53.8%192 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 50c | 38.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8179…5c4dbacked Under | 50c | 38.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 46c | 37.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…303fbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…f51dbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…f208backed Over | 55c | 35.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…7d50backed Over | 54c | 32.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…ce01backed Over | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…823dbacked Over | 55c | 20.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Under | 72c | 20.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 55c | 19.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Over | 54c | 18.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -13.4wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 38.5this page
- Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Matteo Berrettini: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Matteo Berrettini: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo BerrettiniMatteo Berrettini won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs BerrettiniBerrettini won
- Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)Berrettini won
- Set Handicap: Berrettini (-2.5) vs Cerundolo (+2.5)Berrettini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.