Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ae8bc2b99710694a585fc30ecb46dfae1d5f56aab342291984b49677a5bd98c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.96 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 48c | 3,418$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.59 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 56c | 1,798$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.54 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 1,433$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.24 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 50c | 1,329$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.31 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 44c | 1,111$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.84 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8289backed Over | 53c | 950.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 723.99$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.34 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…b808backed Under | 45c | 655$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 44c | 643.81$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.28 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 45c | 531.79$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.83 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Over | 58c | 517.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.93 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Over | 54c | 274.29$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Under | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Over | 56c | 260.71$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Over | 51c | 183.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…4ee0backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 45c | 134.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…2022backed Under | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 49c | 117.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 58c | 104.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 43c | 102$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 43c | 88.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…7ab8backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 46c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…e7a6backed Under | 52c | 67.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 46c | 61.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14c6…21e5backed Over | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…d1f9backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d05…1f4ebacked Over | 52c | 53.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Over | 56c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 56c | 49.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 44c | 49.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 36c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…cf06backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92e…d539backed Over | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Under | 42c | 28.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b30…2209backed Over | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 58c | 22.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…61a9backed Under | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.