MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6401c6ef788346e456325faa6cfa24cc160a0af345f70c8868bdd2f7522172ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 24,750$12,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,127.65 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 24,726$12,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,115.98 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 11,640$5,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,820 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 11,428$5,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,714 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 9,706$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,755.94 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Tampa Bay Rays | 0c | 6,986$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 6,211$3,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.89 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 3,989$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.51 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 3,601$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.68 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 3,506$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.13 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 3,237$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.1 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 3,067$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.7 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…00abbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 3c | 2,964$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,809$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.64 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,690$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.09 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.14 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…f5a3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 2c | 1,423$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,407$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.4 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,320$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.89 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 18c | 1,284$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 18c | 1,106$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,034$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.85 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 959.85$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.33 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 14c | 902.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.71 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 759$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.91 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 750.49$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.65 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…75bbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 747.08$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 679.42$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.92 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 5c | 623.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 620$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 16c | 618.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 512.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 503.42$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.67 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 495.98$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.03 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 439.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 439.41$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.74 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…d613backed Tampa Bay Rays | 18c | 436.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 427.06$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.26 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 407.65$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.75 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 404.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 397.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…0d1ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 342.12$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 323.21$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.37 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 14c | 299.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 297.16$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 288$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 277.59$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 277.59$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 10c | 272.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 262.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 258.02$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.01 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 199.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 10c | 198.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 196.4$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…4f90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 192.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 189.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 184.37$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 181.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 180.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 150.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Tampa Bay Rays | 16c | 148.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…db25backed Tampa Bay Rays | 18c | 147.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 146.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 24c | 145.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…2ba2backed Cincinnati Reds | 72c | 138.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 135.29$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 128.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 122.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 122$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 112.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 104.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 289 | 51.9%150 W · 139 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 101.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 100.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 100.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…10d9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 22c | 97.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…0553backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…8e5fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 261 | 48.3%126 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…28bfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 90.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.