CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fcb192a65f10431d4106b3cd0901038112e94f09aa01b1278a9be9a9009cb44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof 100 Thieves, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 12,212$4,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,951.43 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c9…7095backed 100 Thieves | 0c | 10,848$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NIP | 69c | 10,443$7,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.48 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…1b0dbacked 100 Thieves | 30c | 5,869$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NIP | 72c | 2,589$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.75 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 68c | 2,485$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.01 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 1,767$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.5 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…053ebacked NIP | 78c | 1,615$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.31 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NIP | 72c | 1,600$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.47 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked 100 Thieves | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked 100 Thieves | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed NIP | 62c | 1,173$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.6 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed NIP | 52c | 1,112$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.39 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP | 61c | 832.01$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.42 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…ae6bbacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 757.84$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.45 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NIP | 71c | 755.39$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.01 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 691.04$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.65 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a4…f92ebacked 100 Thieves | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed NIP | 63c | 582.56$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.44 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 550.61$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.79 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked NIP | 55c | 530.33$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.49 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 64c | 509.72$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 499.72$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.31 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked NIP | 55c | 496.54$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.44 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 478.48$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed 100 Thieves | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 430.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.97 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked NIP | 60c | 378.68$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.47 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed NIP | 61c | 344.3$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked 100 Thieves | 37c | 335.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.27 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 100 Thieves | 33c | 319.69$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked NIP | 62c | 317.61$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.15 | 174 | 67.8%118 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed NIP | 49c | 306$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.18 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 287.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.29 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…74f7backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 286.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked NIP | 78c | 274.06$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed NIP | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…3d3bbacked NIP | 59c | 248.56$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 245.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed NIP | 47c | 242.92$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked 100 Thieves | 7c | 237$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…d64ebacked 100 Thieves | 39c | 224.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 214.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked 100 Thieves | 31c | 213.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 206.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP | 56c | 205.95$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.07 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed NIP | 75c | 199.49$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 191.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 175$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NIP | 64c | 170$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 160.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked NIP | 62c | 158.09$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…4022backed NIP | 61c | 151.13$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NIP | 68c | 150.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 149.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed NIP | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 135.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed NIP | 68c | 127.78$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 100 Thieves | 24c | 127.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 123.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 121.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 118.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed 100 Thieves | 26c | 117$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked NIP | 61c | 112.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 107.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 106$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked 100 Thieves | 26c | 106$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d56…52b1backed NIP | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked 100 Thieves | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…57d7backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed NIP | 62c | 99.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffdc…ce87backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 85.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed NIP | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…9235backed 100 Thieves | 19c | 82.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 80.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked 100 Thieves | 30c | 75.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked NIP | 64c | 74.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed NIP | 73c | 74.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NIP | 70c | 66.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked 100 Thieves | 27c | 63.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 56.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 53.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 51.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked 100 Thieves | 32c | 50.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…a9f1backed NIP | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 49.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed NIP | 54c | 49.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked 100 Thieves | 29c | 49.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed NIP | 76c | 49.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 47.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NIP | 55c | 46.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d11…890dbacked NIP | 54c | 42.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…6b55backed NIP | 63c | 42.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 41.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked NIP | 60c | 40.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals PlayoffsNIP won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.