CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde257f5743681dcd79ea2d5475fb74e1c135a85513caaa490804473ddfb4f0f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof 100 Thieves, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NIP | 50c | 9,445$4,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,758.49 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NIP | 58c | 6,328$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.05 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 4,707$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.09 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 3,942$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.14 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed 100 Thieves | 2c | 2,375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed 100 Thieves | 2c | 2,375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked 100 Thieves | 2c | 2,375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked 100 Thieves | 2c | 2,375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked 100 Thieves | 2c | 2,375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked 100 Thieves | 2c | 2,375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 1,424$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.09 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed 100 Thieves | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked NIP | 45c | 904.28$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.1 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed 100 Thieves | 19c | 753.5$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.69 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed 100 Thieves | 6c | 591.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 565.75$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.64 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves | 24c | 543.25$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.07 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 9c | 478.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves | 11c | 462.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked NIP | 45c | 409.6$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.89 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 389.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 335.02$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.74 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 331.04$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.91 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed NIP | 47c | 316.51$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.75 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NIP | 56c | 287.1$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed 100 Thieves | 18c | 269.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked 100 Thieves | 22c | 268$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked NIP | 63c | 266.41$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed NIP | 78c | 252.01$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 238.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed NIP | 72c | 234.92$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed 100 Thieves | 6c | 228$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…3d3bbacked NIP | 72c | 220.08$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed NIP | 37c | 210.64$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.71 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed NIP | 38c | 192.55$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.61 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…ae6bbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 159.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed NIP | 77c | 158.82$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed 100 Thieves | 18c | 154.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…b83fbacked 100 Thieves | 21c | 151.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked 100 Thieves | 23c | 144.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 100 Thieves | 32c | 139.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 136.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked NIP | 59c | 136.59$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 125.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed 100 Thieves | 25c | 123$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed NIP | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked NIP | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 99.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed NIP | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked NIP | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed NIP | 72c | 89.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…1fafbacked NIP | 59c | 71.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 190 | 22.6%43 W · 147 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 67.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed NIP | 30c | 65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked NIP | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked 100 Thieves | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked 100 Thieves | 28c | 58.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NIP | 65c | 55.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked NIP | 56c | 55.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed 100 Thieves | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked 100 Thieves | 73c | 52.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 52.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 50.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed NIP | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked NIP | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed 100 Thieves | 24c | 43.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed 100 Thieves | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP | 58c | 37.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…b794backed NIP | 75c | 37.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 32.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed NIP | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed NIP | 46c | 24.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP | 47c | 22.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NIP | 69c | 19.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals PlayoffsNIP won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.