Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1694a194371e38048b65f690026a0d4d26370e64cc66dacad72623ec37a98d55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 66c | 4,837$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.05 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 42c | 880.26$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.57 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 52c | 778.64$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.7 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2876…752fbacked Yes | 54c | 709.01$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 36c | 637.62$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.11 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed No | 45c | 434.66$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.45 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked No | 56c | 406.19$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.04 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 64c | 378.54$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.64 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 47c | 304.66$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.61 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 36c | 284.61$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…c331backed No | 75c | 281.36$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.81 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed No | 79c | 269.76$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.48 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed No | 26c | 249.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 37c | 237.29$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 72c | 217$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.64 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 67c | 211.36$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.13 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 33c | 206.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.91 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 21c | 201.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Yes | 52c | 201.24$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 73c | 190.5$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.15 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 37c | 169.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 30c | 166.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a0…f156backed No | 40c | 162.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 71c | 155$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 33c | 153.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 74c | 149.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 39c | 147.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f3…fd0abacked Yes | 77c | 130.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 127.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 45c | 116.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 31c | 116.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 32c | 114.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…d8e2backed Yes | 27c | 113.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 33c | 113.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…9754backed Yes | 37c | 105.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 136 | 30.1%41 W · 95 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 31c | 105$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked No | 46c | 104.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 44c | 103.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 58c | 103$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…0b5fbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x293e…9962backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…a5f2backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ae…00c1backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 32c | 95.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 62c | 87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…af52backed Yes | 59c | 86.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 62c | 86.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed No | 57c | 84.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 60c | 84.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…ae8dbacked Yes | 64c | 82.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 185 | 67.6%125 W · 60 L | +28.7wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb1…9e38backed Yes | 42c | 80.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…a763backed No | 69c | 77.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 62c | 76.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 42c | 76.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 56c | 76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 63c | 72.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…98dfbacked Yes | 30c | 69.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 73c | 68.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 34c | 65.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 29c | 64.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 59c | 61.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 44c | 59.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…f6bfbacked No | 21c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +27.3wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 80+0.27 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 46c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…a14abacked Yes | 76c | 54.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…278ebacked Yes | 33c | 54.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 434 | 30.9%134 W · 300 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 39c | 51.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 66c | 48.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 53c | 47.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 40c | 45.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 46c | 44.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed No | 56c | 44.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 48c | 41.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 59c | 41.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…6450backed Yes | 44c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 141 | 19.1%27 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 43c | 39.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 40c | 38.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…b1dbbacked Yes | 42c | 38.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…9acbbacked Yes | 37c | 37.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 75c | 37.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 60c | 34.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 39c | 34.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…7521backed Yes | 77c | 33.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x978d…f975backed No | 61c | 32.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 39c | 31.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…dcc7backed No | 66c | 30.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C or higher on May 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.