Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0453de26aff83e0f6b33dfd88f199f0a352ebc73a2fccfe2318c3d10b3beed8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 45c | 938.63$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.9 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 61c | 844.93$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 30c | 771.25$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.37 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 506$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.81 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 62c | 459.86$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x69ae…00c1backed Yes | 25c | 425.07$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.27 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 52c | 357.97$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.91 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 78c | 343.59$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.36 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 34c | 342.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 61c | 238.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.57 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 37c | 238.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 73c | 211.36$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 64c | 209.61$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…791bbacked No | 62c | 208.53$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 72c | 190.5$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 73c | 180$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a0…f156backed No | 56c | 162.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…af52backed No | 75c | 153.32$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 46c | 152.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 19c | 141.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 28c | 138.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f3…fd0abacked Yes | 72c | 137.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 127.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…d8e2backed Yes | 47c | 123.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 28c | 123.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…8834backed Yes | 61c | 113.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ff…4fe2backed No | 72c | 104.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…b1dbbacked Yes | 30c | 103.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked No | 53c | 99.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…a5f2backed Yes | 68c | 90.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 79c | 89.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 42c | 85.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 52c | 83.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 58c | 80.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38cf…5d18backed No | 39c | 80.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 30c | 75.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 62c | 72.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 77c | 71.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…8e32backed No | 71c | 68.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 26c | 67.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…9754backed Yes | 35c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 136 | 30.1%41 W · 95 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 47c | 66.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 28c | 64.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…6bd8backed Yes | 39c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Yes | 25c | 59.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed No | 68c | 59.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…1de3backed Yes | 22c | 57.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 45c | 56.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…605cbacked No | 65c | 52.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x978d…f975backed Yes | 78c | 51.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 76c | 50.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…a0b1backed Yes | 24c | 48.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed No | 61c | 46.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 31c | 45.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…c331backed Yes | 59c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…0c7ebacked Yes | 39c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 58c | 40.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…6450backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 141 | 19.1%27 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 41c | 39.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 30c | 39.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 33c | 37.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 41c | 36.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 32c | 35.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed Yes | 45c | 33.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 33c | 30.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec4…ce94backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…3c3abacked Yes | 46c | 26.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 75c | 26.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 74c | 26.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed Yes | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…a14abacked Yes | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddd…cab9backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…a41bbacked Yes | 42c | 23.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 104 | 10.6%11 W · 93 L | -42.2wins | -0.41per pick | 51cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 14-0.33 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 57c | 23.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…ff8cbacked No | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 60c | 20.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x029a…60fcbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8752…31b6backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…31c4backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…fd73backed No | 64c | 15.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…a5debacked No | 79c | 14.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 249 | 51.4%128 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…c062backed No | 72c | 13.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C or higher on May 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.