Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21cd1d41bfd93073ccdeaba603c554e61a96e2a5c3869c6d8ed5396770d1bc12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 46c | 3,109$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.73 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…4c27backed No | 1c | 2,980$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 131 | 0.8%1 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -97.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 5c | 928.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 32c | 515.95$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.97 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 45c | 358.16$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.69 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 39c | 325.33$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…20febacked No | 5c | 314.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 151 | 6.6%10 W · 141 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…6800backed No | 54c | 249.24$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked No | 51c | 246.74$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.31 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 49c | 239.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 234.81$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a2…c0c5backed Yes | 80c | 231.49$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 48c | 231.33$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 7c | 224$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed No | 73c | 208.26$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.09 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 34c | 201.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.06 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 36c | 190.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.26 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 54c | 186.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 189 | 48.1%91 W · 98 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 36c | 185.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.18 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 179$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…befdbacked No | 56c | 164.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 26c | 157.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 42c | 145.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 64c | 137.52$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…9f18backed Yes | 56c | 131.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 48c | 130.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 46c | 127.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 28c | 113.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 52c | 102.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 56c | 102.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 56c | 101.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc84…a0d2backed Yes | 40c | 100.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe8…9f16backed Yes | 41c | 97.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 42c | 94.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed No | 20c | 91.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 54c | 90.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 56c | 84.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 387 | 58.7%227 W · 160 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 51c | 80.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 47c | 77.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…b7bfbacked No | 53c | 75.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 50c | 73.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 70.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed No | 57c | 67.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7af…0158backed Yes | 48c | 62.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 43c | 57.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…07a5backed No | 54c | 55.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 247 | 68.4%169 W · 78 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed No | 57c | 53.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fd…54c7backed No | 65c | 52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…acacbacked No | 48c | 51.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 36c | 49.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 63c | 49.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 27c | 48.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…0b84backed Yes | 54c | 47.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c7…e7fdbacked Yes | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34f…c66bbacked Yes | 49c | 43.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…aef2backed Yes | 34c | 42.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 43c | 41.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 43c | 40.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…5d22backed No | 71c | 40.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4033…48c5backed No | 57c | 40.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed Yes | 41c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 64c | 39.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 53c | 39.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 47c | 39.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…ce71backed Yes | 52c | 38.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 55c | 38.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 43c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 57c | 36.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf910…5912backed Yes | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…253abacked Yes | 57c | 33.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 32.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 49c | 31.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6599…ac95backed No | 58c | 30.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 40c | 30.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 68c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9033…bd50backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…7ad4backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16e…c43ebacked No | 40c | 29.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…ad7abacked No | 55c | 29.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb025…38bbbacked Yes | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…47f6backed Yes | 48c | 26.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked No | 46c | 25.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 209 | 28.7%60 W · 149 L | -45.3wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…1724backed No | 68c | 24.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…57f6backed No | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 277 | 69%191 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 63c | 22.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…492abacked No | 58c | 21.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 173 | 65.3%113 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 53c | 20.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…c5b6backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…7a17backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x855e…de25backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…5f31backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 289 | 46.4%134 W · 155 L | -14.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.