Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc29c97e3663606caebbc6110b47c8603f7428128c5e031f8c094e018bb803b0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26fc…4c27backed Yes | 1c | 2,768$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 131 | 0.8%1 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -97.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 41c | 2,121$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.7 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 4c | 917.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…b1dbbacked Yes | 38c | 786.85$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 33c | 305.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.23 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 67c | 284.41$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 65c | 275.97$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 62c | 266$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 65c | 250.12$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.87 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 72c | 242.68$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 62c | 240.12$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fd…54c7backed No | 69c | 221.7$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…05a5backed Yes | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 84 | 26.2%22 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 26c | 191.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 70c | 185.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 38c | 184.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…98dfbacked Yes | 27c | 154.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 33c | 145.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 76c | 135.41$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 41c | 133.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 58c | 132.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 64c | 130.8$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7af…0158backed Yes | 31c | 128.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 19c | 120.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 59c | 120.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 68c | 116.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…fd7ebacked Yes | 56c | 112.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…11e0backed No | 70c | 109.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 62c | 101.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 71c | 100.27$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc84…a0d2backed Yes | 34c | 100.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…0b5fbacked Yes | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 23c | 99.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 31c | 99.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 31c | 91.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 34c | 89.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 72c | 89.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…3604backed Yes | 34c | 89.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 61c | 86.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked Yes | 33c | 86.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 303 | 33%100 W · 203 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 23c | 85.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 37c | 85.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b0…298fbacked Yes | 30c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 146 | 26%38 W · 108 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 33c | 84.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 28c | 84.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 71c | 78.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 61c | 76.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 69c | 73.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 79c | 70.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 53c | 62.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e03…f879backed Yes | 31c | 62.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 31c | 61.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…6800backed Yes | 37c | 54.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…8003backed Yes | 38c | 49.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…c34fbacked No | 64c | 47.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 129 | 62.8%81 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…6ca1backed Yes | 32c | 46.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 64c | 46.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed No | 66c | 45.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 80c | 44.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 53c | 44.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 55c | 44.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34d…41f0backed Yes | 42c | 42.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 70c | 40.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 73c | 40.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 34c | 40.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac1…1a0ebacked Yes | 31c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 51c | 39.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 67c | 37.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…befdbacked Yes | 37c | 35.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 65c | 35.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72f…7af1backed Yes | 31c | 35.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 70c | 32.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 40c | 31.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 68c | 31.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 72c | 31.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 43c | 28.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2aa…3e28backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 51c | 26.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 387 | 58.7%227 W · 160 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…5b01backed No | 73c | 26.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…a384backed No | 73c | 25.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb025…38bbbacked Yes | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 56c | 22.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…d998backed Yes | 55c | 21.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 73c | 20.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…668abacked No | 67c | 20.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 66c | 20.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 54c | 18.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.