Australian A League · resolved market
Will Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x977bc97dd076b247baa28bd46e0f52c8a39fbfa9c8cab15efc48c194aa849705
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 73c | 3,102$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.53 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,483$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.97 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 1,165$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.75 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 1,102$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.19 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Yes | 24c | 405.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 72c | 340.94$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 73c | 314.41$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 18c | 311.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 26c | 300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 53c | 294.57$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.35 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 77c | 250.71$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 43c | 230$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.65 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 229.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 227.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 211.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 27c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 40c | 194.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 27c | 174.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 74c | 155.46$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 146.26$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…5c17backed Yes | 20c | 144.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 24c | 139.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 76c | 138.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…337bbacked Yes | 14c | 137.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 137.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 61c | 127.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 45c | 126.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.86 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…bde6backed Yes | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 55c | 98.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed No | 67c | 95.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 21c | 91.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 24c | 89.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 32c | 78.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 74.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 74c | 59.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked No | 73c | 58.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 19c | 55.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 32c | 51.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 50.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…26fdbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 25c | 47.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 51c | 46.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 23c | 44.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 42c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 27c | 42.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 55c | 36.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Yes | 47c | 26.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed Yes | 49c | 25.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed No | 76c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed No | 67c | 16.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.