Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10fb706964daccf7d13118dcec9d8c2828c542a9e21695a7f79f6264c61e5676
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 67c | 2,971$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.86 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 68c | 758.97$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.79 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 27c | 750.44$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.94 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…aafbbacked Yes | 76c | 611.73$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.85 | 232 | 69%160 W · 72 L | +23.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…af52backed No | 29c | 545.92$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.02 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 50c | 457.54$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.95 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 25c | 368.86$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…1e24backed No | 55c | 342.22$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked Yes | 5c | 279.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.61 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 66c | 267.91$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.53 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked Yes | 49c | 267.24$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.51 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 77c | 266.38$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.13 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd209…8dbabacked Yes | 77c | 258.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 67c | 253.97$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.76 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed Yes | 12c | 226.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.11 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…2fd0backed No | 40c | 223.33$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.93 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 24c | 213.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x69ae…00c1backed Yes | 10c | 199.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.97 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 79c | 164$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8b…612fbacked Yes | 31c | 163.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.34 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 13c | 158.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…6ca1backed Yes | 66c | 148.15$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…925fbacked No | 51c | 135.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 127.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…59e1backed Yes | 79c | 127.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd8…26c4backed No | 27c | 121.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 78c | 116.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.94 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 71c | 112.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 53c | 105.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…90aabacked No | 24c | 105.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 21c | 93.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27e3…9524backed No | 30c | 92.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…d0babacked Yes | 32c | 89.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0e…8337backed Yes | 30c | 88.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…10dcbacked No | 43c | 88.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…7bc3backed Yes | 24c | 87.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed Yes | 78c | 83.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…7107backed Yes | 79c | 81.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 43c | 74.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d0…fd65backed No | 39c | 69.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 30c | 68.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed Yes | 49c | 65.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…75f3backed Yes | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 221 | 71%157 W · 64 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed Yes | 30c | 64.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Yes | 79c | 63.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 41c | 63.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed Yes | 59c | 62.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5a…6d3dbacked No | 34c | 61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a0…f156backed No | 26c | 59.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 45c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 23c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…3255backed No | 43c | 58.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…65a8backed No | 40c | 52.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…497cbacked No | 41c | 51.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…98b4backed No | 45c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a7…396dbacked Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2e…e75ebacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed No | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 27c | 46.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…2bddbacked No | 33c | 45.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 191 | 23.6%45 W · 146 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…4b4fbacked No | 28c | 43.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…c96ebacked No | 44c | 42.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…0d51backed No | 44c | 42.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…0c7ebacked Yes | 56c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ab…2e0fbacked No | 33c | 39.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5da…27b7backed Yes | 78c | 37.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc70a…d065backed Yes | 42c | 35.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5a…b71dbacked No | 39c | 35.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb6…85afbacked Yes | 78c | 34.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked Yes | 75c | 33.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 77c | 31.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa336…43f1backed Yes | 70c | 28.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked No | 44c | 27.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec4…ce94backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 62c | 24.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 61c | 22.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked Yes | 75c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…7ef0backed Yes | 68c | 21.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…d515backed Yes | 71c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…ba43backed Yes | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…2041backed Yes | 74c | 14.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C or higher on May 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.