TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will FC Dallas win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,165 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes48c84,845$40,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,678.0915647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No52c13,520$7,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,489.62181%17 W · 4 L+6.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+55.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c11,463$5,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,486.8397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d1…288ebacked No52c9,379$4,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,501.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed No52c5,552$2,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,664.922254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked No52c5,416$2,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.64683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No52c4,370$2,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,097.623858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed No52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.151266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No53c3,539$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6781,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Yes72c3,351$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40016453%87 W · 77 L+20.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+40%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No43c2,928$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.5647748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No52c2,881$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.091050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No52c2,822$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.7115458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No52c2,822$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.7114151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No52c2,819$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.2612254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No50c2,806$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.92650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No33c2,567$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.9299340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No54c2,536$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.613053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed No68c2,079$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.423528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked No52c1,995$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.6850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No67c1,976$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.811,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c1,718$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.083,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No54c1,650$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No58c1,631$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.941339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No52c1,442$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.1613347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes47c1,314$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.211758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No19c1,282$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.2548344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes41c1,213$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009050%45 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes80c1,050$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8407974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No52c1,020$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.0353046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4708547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7103145.2%14 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48055750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48068550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48091553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes46c915.76$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.0423643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No52c906$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.2537649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes20c835$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16710045%45 W · 55 L+18.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+97.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes49c798.97$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.0712667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69b5…f7ebbacked Yes35c759.4$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.791668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+39%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes31c717.62$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.8222269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes46c710.29$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.6625851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes28c680.23$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5977751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No52c624$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.521070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No38c606.61$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.4823548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No52c599$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.5213046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No68c589.65$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.611454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No59c581$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.548560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No53c580.77$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.972850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No52c576.91$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.927149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes34c540.76$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.428721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf5d5…b0b8backed Yes77c486.92$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No52c440$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.29848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0833…bc88backed Yes65c417.33$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.432030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-37.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No53c399.99$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.3370249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No66c362.53$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6822946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddaf…3de6backed Yes29c347.55$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed No60c340$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1361060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No51c319.79$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.3322263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No52c312$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.767031.4%22 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No74c308.41$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2317753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No62c263.66$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2110249%50 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No52c258.13$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.910755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No13c256$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.8918967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No52c252$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.965851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes74c238$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.3819073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed Yes44c231.58$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.53728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No52c210$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5954949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked No45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.73250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked Yes41c189.68$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Yes72c166.65$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.992152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes51c159.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9230444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c69…e671backed Yes44c158.6$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.09683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No42c154.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6792346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes14c150.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.071118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick12cpaid+230.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62cc…f56fbacked Yes36c148.02$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.69560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked No30c144.52$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.66540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes36c140.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes47c136.96$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0119052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes34c136.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4820554.6%112 W · 93 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No52c134.97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.371,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes48c125.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.72035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes30c125$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.58241.5%34 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.226050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Yes30c112.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.75333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes47c111.14$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2412146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcab9…5df5backed Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501625%4 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes37c105$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8537249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes26c96.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes62c90$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4629370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No53c89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8311563.5%73 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No53c85.09$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.998065%52 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked No36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.331827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes47c81.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.677951.9%41 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes26c76.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes38c75.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9329460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes60c74.32$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7310753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.