Mls · resolved market
Will FC Dallas vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52b654e858aa83f2ad56eef35c27a4999e6724b29121e31e2ec1ae0b964099c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 30c | 2,924$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.15 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 2,085$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.34 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 25c | 2,030$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.67 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 1,456$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.3 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 1,399$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.45 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 21c | 1,297$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.93 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…1ad5backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 790.65$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.22 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 761.85$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.21 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 70c | 684.77$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.3 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8d…b0e1backed Yes | 26c | 650$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 18c | 624.59$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.34 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 48c | 611.62$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.98 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 27c | 607.41$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.41 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 46c | 601.43$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.84 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Yes | 44c | 478.76$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.61 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 80c | 380$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 348.96$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.65 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 78c | 320.78$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 61c | 311.46$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 42c | 276.41$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.42 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 26c | 243$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.82 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed No | 57c | 207$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 48c | 197.61$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.21 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed No | 31c | 197.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 62c | 181.54$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435a…21a5backed Yes | 13c | 149.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 74c | 148$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.52 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 26c | 146.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 20c | 143.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.86 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 60c | 139.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 132$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 29c | 127.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 53c | 124$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 73c | 118.35$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 76c | 105.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 25c | 96.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 54c | 95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 33c | 92.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 21c | 84.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 62c | 80.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…f7ebbacked No | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 67c | 79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 29c | 71.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 26c | 63.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 21c | 58.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 24c | 48.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 30c | 44.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 26c | 44.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 34c | 42.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 73c | 36.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed No | 41c | 31.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 58c | 28.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 75c | 26.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 73c | 23.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0a…5497backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 60c | 18.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3028…21e7backed No | 75c | 16.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa70c…08d3backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3e…8b7cbacked No | 75c | 15.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Dallas vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Dallas win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.