Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe631e7eba3f247951434861183109d1b1121448c1ca064b120daa9b326f4a150
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 1,503$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.95 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 11c | 1,127$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Yes | 10c | 1,036$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8d…b0e1backed Yes | 27c | 621.81$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 18c | 613.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 559.14$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 451.46$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.89 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 434.29$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.92 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Yes | 31c | 370$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 13c | 360.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 15c | 326$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 233.2$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 12c | 216.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 24c | 209.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Yes | 7c | 208.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 17c | 205.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 74c | 196.83$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 19c | 160.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 150.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 10c | 134.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 125$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 109.51$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed No | 74c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 23c | 87.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 21c | 71.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 59.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 73c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…b823backed Yes | 28c | 47.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435a…21a5backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 75c | 32.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0b…89cfbacked No | 75c | 26.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…d24abacked No | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 78c | 23.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x918d…1462backed No | 79c | 23.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 74c | 22.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed No | 76c | 19.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 78c | 19.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 78c | 17.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 78c | 17.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 78c | 17.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will FC Dallas vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Dallas win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.