Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x899a9ae2051bb4a049df0bf37e17ee587946ceb97120e785a06908ef823fc923
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4066…2407backed Yes | 38c | 8,043$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.5 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25c…732cbacked No | 19c | 1,050$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…c6cebacked No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 255 | 4.3%11 W · 244 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked No | 50c | 906.01$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.41 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked No | 48c | 863.03$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.67 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…1adfbacked No | 61c | 717.96$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.38 | 312 | 62.5%195 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…f437backed No | 56c | 421.68$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 32c | 401.54$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.12 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 6c | 400.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…b286backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…7b92backed No | 45c | 398.67$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.27 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…6364backed Yes | 60c | 354.63$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.91 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16e…c43ebacked No | 56c | 330.9$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 30c | 279.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…befdbacked No | 62c | 275.93$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 48c | 260$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…a13cbacked No | 57c | 246.4$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 59 | 81.4%48 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5da…27b7backed Yes | 22c | 245.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…20febacked Yes | 5c | 244.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 151 | 6.6%10 W · 141 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…8730backed No | 16c | 215.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 12c | 212.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed Yes | 40c | 177.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…8b12backed No | 78c | 177.31$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 54 | 88.9%48 W · 6 L | +12.5wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +40%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed No | 58c | 170.41$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.57 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed No | 51c | 133.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd802…d766backed No | 46c | 130.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 306 | 64.1%196 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…43a8backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed No | 55c | 113.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc3…37b9backed No | 60c | 109.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…07cfbacked No | 19c | 105$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c75…6e43backed No | 40c | 94.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +153.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb9…83acbacked No | 33c | 90.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 16c | 90.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 523 | 22.6%118 W · 405 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed No | 55c | 90.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 42c | 89.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 48c | 89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 51c | 88.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 62c | 84.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 54c | 78.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…e362backed No | 44c | 77.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +62%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…979ebacked Yes | 40c | 76.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 53c | 75.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…f008backed No | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28f8…b5f7backed No | 53c | 72.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 28c | 54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 45c | 53.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 25c | 53.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed No | 60c | 50.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 349 | 70.2%245 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked Yes | 38c | 50.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…492abacked No | 39c | 50.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 173 | 65.3%113 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 548 | 67.3%369 W · 179 L | +26.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…5c75backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 30%48 W · 112 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 80c | 46.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 31c | 45.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…5c82backed Yes | 58c | 44.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…154ebacked No | 49c | 43.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 37c | 41.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…77e8backed No | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 126 | 25.4%32 W · 94 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 41c | 39.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 387 | 58.7%227 W · 160 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 51c | 38.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd290…14f3backed Yes | 47c | 37.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…7f8abacked No | 61c | 36.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 52c | 35.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 52c | 33.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Yes | 42c | 32.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 53c | 30.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x396b…1759backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…d96abacked No | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d8…52d5backed No | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…7ef0backed No | 56c | 26.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed No | 54c | 25.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 34 | 88.2%30 W · 4 L | +7.2wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed No | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1516…e90cbacked No | 47c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…1e49backed No | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 863 | 62.9%543 W · 320 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…7f0fbacked Yes | 51c | 20.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…092abacked No | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 247 | 36%89 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 175 | 70.3%123 W · 52 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e06…e02cbacked No | 79c | 18.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 62c | 18.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.