MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea09471382ec7c1169dfa5efa87f595753877c5950276a9619c4091892a6baf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 56c | 635.41$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.96 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 533$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.09 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 49c | 441$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.82 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed New York Yankees | 45c | 317.37$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.32 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 297.64$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.58 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 273.54$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.63 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 260.7$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.13 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 247$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.61 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…5a1dbacked New York Yankees | 79c | 234.66$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked New York Yankees | 37c | 221.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.6 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees | 69c | 199.69$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…0d90backed Boston Red Sox | 20c | 185$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 180.17$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked New York Yankees | 52c | 149.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 139.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 139.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 121.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked New York Yankees | 37c | 90.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 86.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 77.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked New York Yankees | 42c | 71.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked New York Yankees | 36c | 69.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed New York Yankees | 67c | 68.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 68.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…1533backed New York Yankees | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked New York Yankees | 36c | 54.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Boston Red Sox | 64c | 51.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed New York Yankees | 38c | 48.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 42.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 40.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 40.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 40.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked New York Yankees | 79c | 39.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…59b9backed New York Yankees | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 34.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked New York Yankees | 78c | 32.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 84 | 84.5%71 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 76cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed New York Yankees | 63c | 30.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Boston Red Sox | 62c | 29.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Boston Red Sox | 66c | 24.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 24.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…f017backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 23.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 20.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed New York Yankees | 77c | 19.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 16.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked New York Yankees | 75c | 14.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red SoxNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.