MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c9c632700960d0750d3a85eb0ace82ea6fb464b03bfc8d88e40d060a29da91b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Under | 57c | 7,640$4,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.65 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 53c | 7,062$3,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,742.83 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 4,887$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 41c | 3,031$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.62 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 1,531$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.32 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 1,275$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 46c | 1,082$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.95 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…b3f1backed Over | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 43c | 916.51$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.42 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 50c | 760.39$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.41 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 58c | 750.46$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.38 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 61c | 730.69$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.58 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Under | 59c | 670.21$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.96 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 52c | 603.15$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.51 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 50c | 469.5$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.75 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 48c | 443.47$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.94 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 51c | 435.28$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.92 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 51c | 358.16$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 48c | 343.61$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.98 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 42c | 299.81$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.92 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 256.88$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 53c | 243.87$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.62 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 41c | 224.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 41c | 216.85$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 49c | 197.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 182$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 170.07$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.93 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 42c | 167.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 161.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 150.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 68c | 148.34$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e9…d331backed Under | 53c | 121.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 49c | 108.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…8e5fbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 39c | 98.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 41c | 98.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Over | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 62c | 94.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8911…5ffabacked Over | 22c | 83.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 41c | 77.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 31c | 76.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 49c | 68.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 39c | 67.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 54c | 63.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 26c | 56.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…6304backed Under | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 48c | 53.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Over | 47c | 49.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 48.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Under | 62c | 40.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 32c | 40.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 51c | 39.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 57c | 38.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 52c | 38.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 48c | 33.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 48c | 23.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 191 | 57.6%110 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 51c | 21.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Under | 52c | 19.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 303 | 50.8%154 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red SoxNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.