MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7ec813fd58731826857790aba82321f1bbc55902b7402e0f14b1caf55e0cdb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof Miami Marlins, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 107,384$50,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,415.17 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 75,334$39,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,406.75 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 40,256$19,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,798.06 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 29,390$15,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,813.52 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 28,275$14,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,571.99 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 23,503$12,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,822.63 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 14,420$6,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,777.4 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 12,634$8,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,308.31 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Miami Marlins | 4c | 6,829$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +267.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 4,941$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.8 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 4,216$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 3,873$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.22 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 3,818$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.75 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 3,539$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.12 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 3,346$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.59 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 3,338$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 3,210$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.6 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 26c | 3,192$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.7 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 3,086$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.9 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 3,080$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.01 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 2,922$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.01 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Miami Marlins | 70c | 2,682$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.15 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed San Francisco Giants | 72c | 2,546$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.75 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 2,348$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.43 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 2,280$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.9 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 2,251$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.08 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 2,089$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.8 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 1,822$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.22 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 1,755$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.32 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,716$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.17 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,616$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.04 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,456$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 1,291$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.82 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins | 74c | 1,067$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.67 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…9f94backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 1,025$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.08 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 916.18$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.16 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…019cbacked Miami Marlins | 72c | 815.94$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.03 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked San Francisco Giants | 25c | 764$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 52c | 754.44$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.09 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 743.35$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.9 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed33…af0fbacked Miami Marlins | 3c | 720.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 693.01$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.49 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 664.1$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.36 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 653.49$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 636.43$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.03 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Miami Marlins | 70c | 614.31$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.89 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 600.43$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.66 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 598.95$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.49 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 554.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.92 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed San Francisco Giants | 26c | 517.01$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.59 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 509.71$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.16 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.2 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3188…870bbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 459.22$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 456.27$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.01 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 441.03$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.23 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 436.28$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.61 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…58ecbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 415.12$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.74 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x748f…f6e5backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 387.3$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed San Francisco Giants | 72c | 377.86$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 375.81$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 359.86$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.94 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 358.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.01 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Miami Marlins | 71c | 353.97$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.78 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 352.97$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.13 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 350.09$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.32 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 330$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 319.31$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 302.54$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 295.78$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked San Francisco Giants | 27c | 288.85$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.47 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 268.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Miami Marlins | 5c | 261.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 257.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.85 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 257.51$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 239.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 226.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed San Francisco Giants | 32c | 225.83$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.67 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 200.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Miami Marlins | 15c | 197.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 197.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.41 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed San Francisco Giants | 64c | 181.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…b36abacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 176.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…c94bbacked San Francisco Giants | 51c | 173.19$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Francisco Giants | 25c | 171.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 170$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 167$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 163.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 156.74$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed San Francisco Giants | 27c | 153.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.9 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco GiantsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.