CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dfce2cc045b99a85daf9f0340231846ad738bfb61345f16bd4c1ccced42b88d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Favbetof HOTU, Favbet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Favbet | 38c | 15,979$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,978.43 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed HOTU | 62c | 15,000$9,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,349.99 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Favbet | 38c | 1,040$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.37 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed HOTU | 62c | 949.24$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.53 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HOTU | 55c | 914.18$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.3 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Favbet | 38c | 762.52$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.9 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Favbet | 39c | 657.19$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.89 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed HOTU | 65c | 523.08$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed HOTU | 63c | 404.76$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Favbet | 37c | 384.76$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed HOTU | 63c | 336.68$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.26 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed HOTU | 7c | 256$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked HOTU | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked HOTU | 64c | 75.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 41c | 71.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed HOTU | 62c | 65.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed HOTU | 33c | 61.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb3…b671backed Favbet | 74c | 61.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Favbet | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed HOTU | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked HOTU | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked HOTU | 55c | 37.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed HOTU | 42c | 35.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0807…d844backed Favbet | 43c | 34.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed Favbet | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6798…9f61backed HOTU | 63c | 26.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed HOTU | 43c | 25.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed HOTU | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed HOTU | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef1…a9c3backed HOTU | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed HOTU | 63c | 23.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked HOTU | 70c | 21.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Favbet | 50c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Favbet - Map 2 WinnerFavbet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.