TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Maryville University vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Supernovaof Maryville University, Supernova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,920

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,411 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3936…366dbacked Maryville University15c6,000$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.23616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Supernova72c4,328$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.31,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Supernova59c2,523$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.192,36440.7%963 W · 1,401 L-57.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89bd…cc95backed Maryville University56c2,313$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.362619.2%5 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Maryville University60c1,866$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.8338154.3%207 W · 174 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Supernova31c1,829$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.9445041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Maryville University11c1,733$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Maryville University17c1,642$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.541,24439.7%494 W · 750 L-69.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa113…93f4backed Supernova73c1,360$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.0211532.2%37 W · 78 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Supernova61c1,267$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.372,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa233…af5bbacked Maryville University8c1,191$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.910639.6%42 W · 64 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dcd…7e04backed Maryville University70c1,157$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.8913752.6%72 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked Supernova62c1,122$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.632566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Supernova51c856.9$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.0163551.8%329 W · 306 L+39.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Supernova50c822.37$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.522,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Supernova44c807.13$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.311,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Maryville University44c762.3$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.442,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Supernova24c629.61$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.51,47429%427 W · 1,047 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Maryville University17c610.58$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.82,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Maryville University62c513.2$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31632542.2%137 W · 188 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d0…f87ebacked Supernova28c471.43$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.4340340.9%165 W · 238 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Maryville University72c471.43$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.431,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Supernova25c450$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.548338.7%187 W · 296 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9c…4da5backed Supernova26c390.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.771656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…3b93backed Supernova28c380.86$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.786254.8%34 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Supernova66c352.62$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.3626363.9%168 W · 95 L-0.9wins0.00per pick64cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Supernova43c351.65$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.675342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4967…4292backed Supernova30c348.84$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.230231.1%94 W · 208 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Maryville University42c330.81$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.251,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Supernova33c272.56$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.5646552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Supernova51c270$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.474462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x153e…7d1bbacked Supernova24c244.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.544643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Supernova47c240.95$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.827237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Maryville University72c221.23$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.282,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Supernova31c221$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4441945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Supernova28c204.41$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.181,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…f6b9backed Supernova71c200.22$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0627865.8%183 W · 95 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Maryville University70c191.97$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13511563.5%73 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed Maryville University12c183.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5725345.8%116 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Maryville University15c183.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.491,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Maryville University60c167$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.211770.1%82 W · 35 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x565a…3207backed Supernova25c160.32$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.322934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc690…ec5bbacked Supernova63c156.2$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.241553.3%221 W · 194 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Supernova59c142.89$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.871,93942.2%819 W · 1,120 L-46.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5624…b5c4backed Supernova69c135.25$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8728851%147 W · 141 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Maryville University17c129.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2274637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ad…0e38backed Supernova32c124.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7317953.6%96 W · 83 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c9f…fa1cbacked Maryville University17c119.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7750%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked Supernova26c115$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.12650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1753…a647backed Maryville University72c114.63$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.53742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Supernova53c111.82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.561,57748.4%764 W · 813 L+17.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Supernova45c103.84$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.941,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Supernova23c101.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8475150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Supernova24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761,18244.8%530 W · 652 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Supernova37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4144129.5%130 W · 311 L-45.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed Maryville University68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9940156.9%228 W · 173 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Supernova26c97.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.592846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Maryville University73c97.21$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b3…a28dbacked Maryville University77c96.47$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7218065%117 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ffc…cfabbacked Supernova31c92.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6623740.5%96 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed Maryville University47c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.71,25752.8%664 W · 593 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8807…c4d9backed Supernova68c88.83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.833148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Maryville University30c78.85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2847630.7%146 W · 330 L-13.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Supernova71c67.59$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.618047.2%85 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fef…809cbacked Maryville University75c66.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x351a…f836backed Supernova70c60.62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2217262.2%107 W · 65 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86bc…efbcbacked Maryville University76c54.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.794553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Supernova39c53.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7827843.9%122 W · 156 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Maryville University79c50.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4048553.4%259 W · 226 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf006…bf1ebacked Supernova30c49.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6569746.8%326 W · 371 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7028…66d1backed Supernova72c47.78$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3816462.8%103 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d64…527ebacked Supernova44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4562558.7%367 W · 258 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15c6…fa12backed Supernova25c42.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Maryville University47c42.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9820439.2%80 W · 124 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Maryville University73c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2957972.2%418 W · 161 L-2.0wins0.00per pick73cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46fb…1c9abacked Maryville University29c39.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.752934.5%10 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…ced8backed Supernova71c37.51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7832371.2%230 W · 93 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Maryville University74c35.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.272568%17 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…ab49backed Maryville University71c35.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259553.7%51 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe275…2450backed Supernova44c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.426841.2%28 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Maryville University73c34.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527254.4%148 W · 124 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…1bfebacked Supernova77c33.65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6525165.7%165 W · 86 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Maryville University41c30.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.564435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1d…b968backed Supernova73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.413671.3%97 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d33…1192backed Maryville University61c21.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9212241.8%51 W · 71 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed Maryville University53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.636465.1%237 W · 127 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9661…36f6backed Maryville University78c18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141457.1%8 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.