Lol · resolved market
LoL: Maryville University vs Supernova - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08ec0f13aa6fdc3236c6584b66cc9f1b32ad85bdd32423488116533a97f6aeb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Supernovaof Maryville University, Supernova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3936…366dbacked Maryville University | 49c | 6,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Maryville University | 11c | 1,992$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…cc95backed Maryville University | 28c | 1,067$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.58 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Supernova | 50c | 1,030$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.28 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Supernova | 52c | 882.12$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.36 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Supernova | 61c | 801.97$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.63 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Maryville University | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.92 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Supernova | 54c | 745.46$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.51 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Supernova | 51c | 596.67$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.58 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Supernova | 56c | 594.07$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.69 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Supernova | 61c | 571.59$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.29 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Supernova | 51c | 540$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.92 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Supernova | 63c | 536.36$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.54 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Supernova | 50c | 528$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 390 | 55.4%216 W · 174 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0c…c8adbacked Supernova | 11c | 525.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.73 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Supernova | 50c | 403.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.49 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Supernova | 69c | 369.85$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed Maryville University | 58c | 347.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Supernova | 36c | 246.34$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.35 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Supernova | 56c | 236.39$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Maryville University | 42c | 232.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Supernova | 69c | 217.12$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…3b93backed Maryville University | 47c | 213.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed Maryville University | 45c | 208.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 274 | 65.7%180 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Supernova | 59c | 208.31$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Supernova | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1753…a647backed Maryville University | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked Maryville University | 75c | 186.23$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Supernova | 51c | 174.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.35 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Maryville University | 78c | 174.25$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.09 | 483 | 53.4%258 W · 225 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maryville University | 71c | 164.89$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…6321backed Maryville University | 14c | 142$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Supernova | 20c | 128.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked Maryville University | 43c | 124.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 414 | 53.4%221 W · 193 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed Supernova | 32c | 124.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9f…fa1cbacked Maryville University | 52c | 119.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Supernova | 48c | 112.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Supernova | 54c | 110.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Maryville University | 79c | 100.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Supernova | 21c | 100.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Supernova | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x153e…7d1bbacked Maryville University | 30c | 98.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5280…4d8ebacked Maryville University | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Supernova | 60c | 80.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8807…c4d9backed Maryville University | 46c | 66.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…a28dbacked Supernova | 74c | 58.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 180 | 65%117 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Supernova | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Supernova | 66c | 51.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Maryville University | 37c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…0e38backed Supernova | 75c | 46.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…75e4backed Supernova | 77c | 44.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked Maryville University | 66c | 40.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 251 | 65.7%165 W · 86 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Maryville University | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed Maryville University | 62c | 39.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Supernova | 70c | 37.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb54…ac7bbacked Supernova | 71c | 34.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Maryville University | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…2d22backed Supernova | 73c | 31.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Maryville University | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 333 | 32.7%109 W · 224 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed Supernova | 62c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked Supernova | 72c | 28.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Supernova | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…fd72backed Maryville University | 68c | 26.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Supernova | 57c | 25.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Maryville University | 40c | 25.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Maryville University | 63c | 23.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 278 | 43.9%122 W · 156 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Supernova | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Maryville University | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 164 | 62.8%103 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…81d4backed Supernova | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 65 | 73.8%48 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Maryville University | 70c | 18.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Maryville University vs Supernova - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Supernova (+1.5)Supernova won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonSupernova won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Supernova - Game 1 WinnerMaryville University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.