TailMyPicks
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Dayton Flyers vs. Saint Louis Billikens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dayton Flyersof Dayton Flyers, Saint Louis Billikens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,572 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked Saint Louis Billikens63c8,457$5,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,309.7349345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Dayton Flyers33c7,077$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,759.685,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Saint Louis Billikens59c5,229$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,088.661,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Dayton Flyers12c4,434$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,914.6655840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Saint Louis Billikens60c4,427$2,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,673.1718954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Dayton Flyers33c4,188$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.8616053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Dayton Flyers37c2,987$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.92,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Dayton Flyers41c2,926$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.994,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Saint Louis Billikens67c2,166$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.212,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Dayton Flyers28c2,149$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.6212230.3%37 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb394…7eb0backed Saint Louis Billikens5c2,016$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dayton Flyers44c1,971$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.511,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Saint Louis Billikens76c1,537$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.5214151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Dayton Flyers33c1,523$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.914325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Saint Louis Billikens68c1,513$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.8839454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Saint Louis Billikens69c1,448$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.4522954.1%124 W · 105 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a18…85b5backed Saint Louis Billikens55c1,388$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.593253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Dayton Flyers32c1,250$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85061652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6702…0fefbacked Saint Louis Billikens67c1,191$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.781947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Dayton Flyers64c1,177$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.0974152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f77…c216backed Dayton Flyers31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0205…bceabacked Saint Louis Billikens69c992.51$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98d2…796ebacked Saint Louis Billikens70c984.23$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+16.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dayton Flyers38c892.58$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.490645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Dayton Flyers33c855.31$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.235,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Saint Louis Billikens63c838.41$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.5718548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Saint Louis Billikens68c793.71$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.183,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Saint Louis Billikens68c724$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.326331.7%20 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Dayton Flyers69c718.24$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.411,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55bb…bc01backed Saint Louis Billikens69c697.94$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.582147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Dayton Flyers23c595.51$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.934,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Saint Louis Billikens77c505.87$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.8443450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Dayton Flyers29c498.06$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.271,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Dayton Flyers20c497.2$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.765944.1%26 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Saint Louis Billikens71c496.4$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.447871.8%56 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Saint Louis Billikens63c462.81$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.9372248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Saint Louis Billikens71c426.9$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.277142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dayton Flyers29c418.11$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.331,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Dayton Flyers31c408$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28084854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Dayton Flyers27c401.4$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.026023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Dayton Flyers30c397.24$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.074825%12 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Saint Louis Billikens68c380.08$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5631646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Saint Louis Billikens79c377.66$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.2623028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Dayton Flyers21c365.7$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.3412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Saint Louis Billikens4c362.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.982528%7 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Saint Louis Billikens16c361.75$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7411741.9%49 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe256…1dd8backed Dayton Flyers20c348.44$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked Saint Louis Billikens27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-54.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Dayton Flyers32c298.53$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2031,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Dayton Flyers31c262.87$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.391,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Saint Louis Billikens58c260.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.313560%81 W · 54 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Dayton Flyers33c255.01$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8663551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Dayton Flyers41c248.66$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7126945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Dayton Flyers32c212.83$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7331448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Dayton Flyers32c200$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13713043.8%57 W · 73 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafa3…1f19backed Saint Louis Billikens27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543517.1%6 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-44.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefbb…8205backed Saint Louis Billikens27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Dayton Flyers27c198.62$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9227358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Saint Louis Billikens54c198.26$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.066357.1%36 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Dayton Flyers34c197.63$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.935338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa081…77e6backed Dayton Flyers30c196.74$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.199454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Dayton Flyers26c190.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.231717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-56.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Dayton Flyers32c187.57$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4125837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Saint Louis Billikens30c185.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.812,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Saint Louis Billikens64c176.87$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.246446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Saint Louis Billikens27c175$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x686e…3415backed Dayton Flyers31c172.16$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.551241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec7…1e38backed Dayton Flyers23c164.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.045933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Dayton Flyers45c158.12$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0694036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8158…4df5backed Dayton Flyers32c155.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.441947.4%9 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+67.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Dayton Flyers25c154.2$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.281,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Dayton Flyers33c150.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.733764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Dayton Flyers33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.524432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Saint Louis Billikens68c147.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2592246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa282…03c6backed Saint Louis Billikens67c145$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.152259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Saint Louis Billikens73c140.03$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.519641.8%82 W · 114 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked Dayton Flyers22c138.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.274238.1%16 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf5f…56a0backed Saint Louis Billikens50c137.37$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.664334.9%15 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Saint Louis Billikens63c137.29$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4624951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Dayton Flyers33c128.71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.239341.9%39 W · 54 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Dayton Flyers40c123.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.377655.3%42 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Saint Louis Billikens69c120$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.89866.3%65 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff75…b615backed Saint Louis Billikens34c116.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.693542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Dayton Flyers50c115.63$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1664647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Saint Louis Billikens75c114.54$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.453,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Dayton Flyers26c112.06$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.377350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Dayton Flyers25c111.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1110638.7%41 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Dayton Flyers28c110.26$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9130054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Dayton Flyers19c105.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.253,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d94…593ebacked Dayton Flyers34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Dayton Flyers31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Saint Louis Billikens67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675052%26 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Saint Louis Billikens70c99.27$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.495269.2%36 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Saint Louis Billikens67c99.24$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9849157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Dayton Flyers49c85.97$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4493447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Saint Louis Billikens80c85$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9514450%72 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Saint Louis Billikens65c81.51$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.327652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Dayton Flyers32c81.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.441,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Saint Louis Billikens68c80$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.433445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6232…85e5backed Saint Louis Billikens67c79.86$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.455972.9%43 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.