NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc868790e9fc43036303e046191f541fd85ab28e3ae3e91ab1ea132981ffb0a98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 50c | 16,800$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 15,486$7,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,743 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 50c | 9,280$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b3…3fdabacked Under | 48c | 5,268$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 4,859$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 50c | 3,667$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.5 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b00…606cbacked Over | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d91…1524backed Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 2,046$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.46 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 1,200$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.98 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 1,049$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.01 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Under | 41c | 968.52$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 16c | 900$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 777$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.49 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 729.47$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.74 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 616$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.84 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 49c | 409$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.59 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Under | 51c | 333$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 308.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 52c | 256$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 243.4$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.52 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 14c | 205.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 29c | 191.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 28c | 141.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 49c | 119.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 51c | 115.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Under | 23c | 114.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 76c | 113.75$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 49c | 103.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 102.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7631…9cc3backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 28c | 95.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 29c | 67.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Under | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x213a…c46dbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0f…84b9backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Under | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…d293backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb1…a3dbbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…d521backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 370 | 37.3%138 W · 232 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…a396backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…332abacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 241.5this page
- 1H Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)Mavericks won
- Jazz vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 240.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 252.5Over won
- Spread: Mavericks (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.