NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7cc484f6476f4b024b790891d45049e8fdd8cd40c5d3010c396dd2836b16fd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 45c | 6,723$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,667.37 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 43c | 3,209$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.98 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 1,987$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.86 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 1,395$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.3 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 733.82$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.85 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 30c | 656.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 478.68$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.42 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 43c | 462.8$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.8 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 43c | 407.21$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.11 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 43c | 394.61$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.93 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 371.44$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…7511backed Over | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 45c | 180$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Under | 47c | 168.36$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 47c | 156.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.38 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 67c | 138.36$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Under | 47c | 129.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 54c | 115.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 53c | 108.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…01cebacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 58c | 69.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…ff92backed Over | 38c | 66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213a…c46dbacked Over | 58c | 43.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 43c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…676fbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…e03bbacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Over | 57c | 29.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 54c | 28.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 54c | 27.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Under | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 54c | 22.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886b…73d1backed Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5this page
- Jets vs. BlackhawksBlackhawks won
- Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.