Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles: O/U 157.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ebca1133c1621b45c94c8b2f8962599532f91b4052dda5928c138692ccb7766
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $644,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $646,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $644,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 623,729$305,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305,571.11 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 51c | 300,000$153,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 51c | 150,005$76,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,500.05 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 51c | 146,509$74,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,789.32 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 12,500$6,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,125 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Under | 56c | 10,783$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,783.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 6,138$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.83 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 1,278$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.96 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 1,092$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.78 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 1,064$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.95 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 55c | 846.44$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.9 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 53c | 577.36$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.36 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…bffcbacked Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 531$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.34 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7392…77abbacked Under | 53c | 505.05$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 52c | 410$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 335.85$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Under | 54c | 305.56$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.56 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 51c | 201.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 55c | 136.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 52c | 105.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 47c | 101.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…031abacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 52c | 89.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd20e…f698backed Under | 54c | 87.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 52c | 85.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…dd60backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 53c | 52.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…d10fbacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Under | 53c | 44.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd363…e6d1backed Under | 55c | 38.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 46c | 38.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9899…a7f5backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…323bbacked Under | 55c | 36.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 34.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe15c…9e57backed Under | 58c | 31.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…d031backed Under | 53c | 27.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 53c | 25.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…f0ccbacked Under | 53c | 21.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles: O/U 157.5this page
- Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Southern Miss Golden EaglesSouthern Miss Golden Eagles won
- Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles: O/U 156.5Under won
- Spread: Southern Miss Golden Eagles (-15.5)Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.