NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb9b517186f720285e36a1cdfa23c2375e306fae5fdc73fe6893e7d38789bb7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Under | 53c | 58,813$31,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,624.37 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 40,320$18,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,950.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Over | 47c | 31,200$14,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,684.7 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 20,084$10,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,562.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 9,232$4,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,516.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.99 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 7,538$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.03 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 48c | 6,299$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…ef56backed Over | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Over | 47c | 3,341$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.23 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 2,976$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 1,528$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.05 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 1,251$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Over | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…7a8bbacked Under | 53c | 1,090$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.45 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Over | 47c | 994.5$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.42 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 50c | 860$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Over | 47c | 587.04$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.89 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 50c | 572$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 481.13$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.82 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 51c | 406.45$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.29 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 48c | 290.76$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 275.01$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 206$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…591fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 12c | 177.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ce…b027backed Over | 48c | 172.92$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 49c | 116.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Over | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 33c | 107.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…d6a8backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 48c | 101$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 323 | 52.6%170 W · 153 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 44.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 50c | 40.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 48c | 29.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Under | 49c | 28.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 48c | 28.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5f…a8a0backed Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Over | 47c | 21.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 50c | 20.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 53c | 19.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Isaiah Stewart: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. PistonsPistons won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Under won
- Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.