TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Zhizhen Zhang

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mensikof Mensik, Zhang
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Zhang29c23,653$6,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,859.4613934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Mensik71c14,085$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,084.5127460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Zhang25c7,715$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.762,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Mensik71c6,103$4,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.0165558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Zhang21c3,761$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.368,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Zhang30c3,004$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.147736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Mensik70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90044163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Mensik71c2,287$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.3215862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Zhang30c2,116$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.3938133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Mensik80c2,108$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.0125764.6%166 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mensik76c2,107$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.792,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Zhang29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58023126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Zhang19c1,964$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.5419134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Zhang2c1,941$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.146,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Zhang1c1,785$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.761,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Zhang26c1,709$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.462,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce6…2e69backed Mensik71c1,402$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.23554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Mensik72c1,257$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.1414568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Zhang28c1,137$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.7572452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Mensik71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29058359.2%345 W · 238 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Mensik71c985$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.655547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0505…db98backed Mensik72c972.22$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.22988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick65cpaid+38.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Mensik70c881$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.31,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1fd…abf9backed Mensik71c749.96$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.498762.1%54 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Mensik72c745$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.66350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea3…b910backed Mensik70c710.6$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.64658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Mensik72c700$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19524060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Mensik75c632.45$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.113729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Zhang29c564.11$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4327836.3%101 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4c…1ca9backed Mensik71c559.67$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.315363.4%97 W · 56 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Mensik73c550.03$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.198262.2%51 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Zhang29c536.63$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.871,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Mensik78c532.22$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2213260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c03…d894backed Zhang30c509.26$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.873246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Zhang30c501.01$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9329…9d3ebacked Zhang29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Zhang11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Zhang29c466.41$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2616340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Mensik71c446.48$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4848242.5%205 W · 277 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Zhang27c444.28$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.21,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Zhang12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015117.9%27 W · 124 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Mensik72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6710756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Mensik71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1118863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed Zhang27c340.74$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Zhang29c331.97$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2738048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Zhang30c330$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9913134.4%45 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Mensik69c313$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.031,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc930…64d9backed Mensik72c305.11$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.431154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Zhang14c299.52$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6881349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Zhang29c298.52$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.447,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea7…f57fbacked Mensik72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.78850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd7…a8adbacked Mensik72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.783154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mensik69c270.71$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9276140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Mensik76c262.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.351,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa56b…d536backed Mensik79c253.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ec…b81ebacked Mensik69c250$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.56259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Zhang28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Zhang28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012450.8%63 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Zhang31c241.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7540141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Zhang30c209.22$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6288446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a1…403ebacked Mensik72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.331266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Mensik72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3365652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c90…7a81backed Mensik72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd8…39b1backed Mensik71c207.04$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0418248.9%89 W · 93 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Zhang23c202.17$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.55521.8%12 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Mensik71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5825355.7%141 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Mensik70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Mensik71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5829661.5%182 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ae2…da95backed Mensik70c200$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616656.1%37 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Zhang29c199.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5832842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f90…a473backed Mensik71c199.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5812755.9%71 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Mensik71c197.61$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3120552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Mensik71c196.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5235268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Mensik71c176$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0418548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Mensik72c166.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6739872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x346a…892bbacked Mensik72c166.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.672045%9 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Mensik74c160$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.669249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Zhang30c157.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.341,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd18a…71ccbacked Mensik72c157.3$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.35560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d4…a896backed Mensik67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.259652.1%50 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Mensik70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd7c…3a6abacked Mensik71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852564%16 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Mensik71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8510648.1%51 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94e4…6be5backed Mensik71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…f11bbacked Mensik71c140.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.39663.5%61 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Mensik73c136.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9270465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Mensik71c127.79$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.061,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Zhang29c127.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.943242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Mensik64c124.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9133055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Mensik71c123.24$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7464537.2%240 W · 405 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x401e…d50bbacked Mensik71c121.87$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60e5…2085backed Mensik72c113.17$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Zhang29c105.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.678152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Zhang26c104.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.346,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Zhang30c101.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011428.9%33 W · 81 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Mensik71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2977967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f7…6333backed Zhang28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Zhang29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Mensik72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2858753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Zhang26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620039%78 W · 122 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.