Tennis · resolved market
Brasilia: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Pedro Sakamoto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x556e73846284d033407d6a7a300e25895efa4f905b5b363e06ed41832fb7ffc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Igor Ribeiro Marcondesof Igor Ribeiro Marcondes, Pedro Sakamoto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pedro Sakamoto | 29c | 9,464$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.14 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 76c | 8,050$6,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.46 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Pedro Sakamoto | 41c | 6,103$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Pedro Sakamoto | 64c | 3,391$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.34 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 54c | 3,143$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.86 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Pedro Sakamoto | 36c | 2,568$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.46 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 36c | 2,214$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.89 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 46c | 1,097$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.24 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Pedro Sakamoto | 61c | 1,057$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 63c | 953.05$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.26 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 47c | 558.28$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.89 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Pedro Sakamoto | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Pedro Sakamoto | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Pedro Sakamoto | 53c | 502.77$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.47 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 37c | 485.5$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.15 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 41c | 459.5$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.83 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 61c | 410.4$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.3 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Pedro Sakamoto | 57c | 399.72$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.9 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Pedro Sakamoto | 21c | 380.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 44c | 364.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.01 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Pedro Sakamoto | 58c | 354.69$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.72 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 62c | 346.47$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.9 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Pedro Sakamoto | 37c | 276.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.39 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Pedro Sakamoto | 36c | 269.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Pedro Sakamoto | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 307 | 50.5%155 W · 152 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 59c | 250$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Pedro Sakamoto | 53c | 189.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 40c | 182.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 47c | 170.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 74c | 159.46$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Pedro Sakamoto | 26c | 157.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 49c | 121$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 68c | 119.91$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd150…baddbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a0…e4a4backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 57c | 84.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pedro Sakamoto | 32c | 81.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Pedro Sakamoto | 26c | 77.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Pedro Sakamoto | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 78c | 73.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Pedro Sakamoto | 60c | 53.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Pedro Sakamoto | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Pedro Sakamoto | 26c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2641…062fbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 55c | 36.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 57c | 34.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 37c | 34.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…331dbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 70c | 25.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…1a9ebacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…30d9backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Pedro Sakamoto | 61c | 21.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 63c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | 63c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.