Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Mitchell Krueger vs Dalibor Svrcina

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a80e0dc6bad40ed45f82e25d1aa9bf5ebdcccecafb98722fd750490817da804

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Dalibor Svrcinaof Mitchell Krueger, Dalibor Svrcina
Resolved: Mar 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,862 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x83b4…13c9backed Mitchell Krueger	20c	10,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Dalibor Svrcina	79c	8,062$6,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,679.4	6,599	50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L	+259.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Dalibor Svrcina	80c	3,526$2,821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.13	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Mitchell Krueger	32c	2,362$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$755.86	239	45.6%109 W · 130 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mitchell Krueger	19c	1,954$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.71	7,816	50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L	+95.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Dalibor Svrcina	68c	1,900$1,292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c75…d40bbacked Mitchell Krueger	1c	1,254$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.06	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mitchell Krueger	9c	759.35$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.52	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Mitchell Krueger	31c	608.7$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.7	1,658	49.9%828 W · 830 L	+7.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Mitchell Krueger	3c	569$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.86	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Dalibor Svrcina	62c	546.23$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.67	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+4.4wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Dalibor Svrcina	75c	543.08$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.61	813	49.1%399 W · 414 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Dalibor Svrcina	79c	519.18$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.55	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Dalibor Svrcina	69c	507.25$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.25	261	58.2%152 W · 109 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Mitchell Krueger	23c	481$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.63	381	33.9%129 W · 252 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mitchell Krueger	33c	478.37$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.85	1,265	29.2%370 W · 895 L	-13.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Dalibor Svrcina	75c	460.8$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.39	2,865	44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Dalibor Svrcina	70c	431.43$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.43	524	60.9%319 W · 205 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Mitchell Krueger	35c	429.03$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.09	1,973	46.3%914 W · 1,059 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Mitchell Krueger	25c	409.86$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	4,288	40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L	-139.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Mitchell Krueger	12c	346.59$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.8	1,504	35.1%528 W · 976 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Dalibor Svrcina	67c	343.02$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.2	223	44.8%100 W · 123 L	-13.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Mitchell Krueger	3c	333$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.32	1,410	38.4%542 W · 868 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mitchell Krueger	21c	330.83$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.7	3,072	44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L	-30.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Mitchell Krueger	27c	326$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.51	1,008	46%464 W · 544 L	-19.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Dalibor Svrcina	69c	302$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.8	692	49.6%343 W · 349 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mitchell Krueger	35c	299.98$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.49	3,871	35%1,353 W · 2,518 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Mitchell Krueger	36c	212.25$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.41	200	43.5%87 W · 113 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Mitchell Krueger	29c	200$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	347	44.4%154 W · 193 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Mitchell Krueger	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	139	23.7%33 W · 106 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Dalibor Svrcina	68c	183.82$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.82	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Dalibor Svrcina	64c	175.33$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.12	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Mitchell Krueger	28c	167$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.1	970	46.6%452 W · 518 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Mitchell Krueger	30c	159$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.63	301	31.9%96 W · 205 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Mitchell Krueger	33c	151.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	229	49.8%114 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff1…4766backed Mitchell Krueger	22c	134.01$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.22	167	62.3%104 W · 63 L	+9.8wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Mitchell Krueger	33c	133$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.89	380	48.4%184 W · 196 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Dalibor Svrcina	68c	110.29$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.29	543	48.1%261 W · 282 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Mitchell Krueger	29c	108$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.08	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Dalibor Svrcina	69c	100$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	779	67.8%528 W · 251 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	69cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Dalibor Svrcina	68c	100$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	265	41.9%111 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Mitchell Krueger	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Mitchell Krueger	41c	97.56$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1,417	45.2%640 W · 777 L	+41.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e2…0dcdbacked Mitchell Krueger	23c	94.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Mitchell Krueger	21c	92.74$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.09	3,270	13.8%450 W · 2,820 L	-549.1wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc036…7df5backed Dalibor Svrcina	63c	79.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.17	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Dalibor Svrcina	78c	78.76$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.43	6,786	48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L	+56.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mitchell Krueger	25c	76.73$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.38	6,439	54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L	+285.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Dalibor Svrcina	68c	73.52$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.53	2,058	59.5%1,225 W · 833 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Dalibor Svrcina	68c	73.48$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	402	64.4%259 W · 143 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Mitchell Krueger	25c	71$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.75	968	44.4%430 W · 538 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Dalibor Svrcina	79c	65.82$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.82	799	51.1%408 W · 391 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63d…a59bbacked Mitchell Krueger	31c	64.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Mitchell Krueger	33c	60.06$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	153	43.8%67 W · 86 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Dalibor Svrcina	67c	57.55$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.1	7,139	49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L	+109.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Mitchell Krueger	33c	51$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.83	4,934	41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L	-77.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Mitchell Krueger	35c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	491	42.8%210 W · 281 L	-15.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Dalibor Svrcina	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	126	64.3%81 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	67cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8874…0fa6backed Dalibor Svrcina	64c	49.62$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.94	114	51.8%59 W · 55 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Dalibor Svrcina	67c	48$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.84	210	72.4%152 W · 58 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	72cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4934…cca1backed Dalibor Svrcina	65c	46.15$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.15	84	63.1%53 W · 31 L	+6.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Mitchell Krueger	38c	39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.82	770	47.9%369 W · 401 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2641…062fbacked Dalibor Svrcina	67c	29.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.76	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mitchell Krueger	35c	28.76$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.13	1,809	43.8%793 W · 1,016 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Mitchell Krueger	36c	28.72$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.34	87	56.3%49 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Dalibor Svrcina	68c	22$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.04	1,831	53%971 W · 860 L	-45.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Dalibor Svrcina	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	228	47.4%108 W · 120 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Dalibor Svrcina	76c	18.55$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.45	117	58.1%68 W · 49 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Mitchell Krueger vs Dalibor Svrcinathis page
Set 1 Winner: Krueger vs SvrcinaSvrcina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Mitchell Krueger vs Dalibor Svrcina

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event