TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mexico City: Matias Soto vs Stefano Napolitano

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stefano Napolitanoof Matias Soto, Stefano Napolitano
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,105

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,400 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x31c1…7047backed Stefano Napolitano66c7,198$4,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,430.4579855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Matias Soto38c3,851$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.464163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe784…e664backed Matias Soto36c3,604$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.411637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Matias Soto19c2,342$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.498,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Stefano Napolitano62c2,053$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.1417348%83 W · 90 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Stefano Napolitano67c1,700$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.123,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Matias Soto18c1,634$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.722,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Matias Soto27c1,603$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.927,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Matias Soto34c1,559$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.031,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Matias Soto36c1,307$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.9284857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Stefano Napolitano80c1,200$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24026045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Matias Soto33c1,104$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.031,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Matias Soto18c1,087$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5752557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stefano Napolitano79c1,076$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.792,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec4c…f5bdbacked Stefano Napolitano62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5001…e597backed Stefano Napolitano62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3802147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Matias Soto20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…cffdbacked Matias Soto12c999.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Matias Soto44c999.99$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4406050%30 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Matias Soto34c975.4$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.3680153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Stefano Napolitano80c769.72$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.072,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Stefano Napolitano64c764.38$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.1862545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8d…6790backed Stefano Napolitano63c702.75$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.021442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Stefano Napolitano63c672.33$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.7697745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Stefano Napolitano65c650.5$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.61,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f05…d802backed Matias Soto27c598.78$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.386333.3%21 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Matias Soto24c546.78$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.414,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Matias Soto26c527.38$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5910829.6%32 W · 76 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Matias Soto32c483.83$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Stefano Napolitano56c453.02$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.3329952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Stefano Napolitano56c434.64$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.241,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Stefano Napolitano62c394.03$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.739556.8%54 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Matias Soto38c383.58$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.841,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Matias Soto36c372.15$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1435436.4%129 W · 225 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Matias Soto25c368.72$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.656,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Stefano Napolitano61c354.51$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.268261%50 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Matias Soto39c331.01$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.110065%65 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Stefano Napolitano61c320.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.881957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Stefano Napolitano61c303.38$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.3718957.1%108 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cc…275cbacked Matias Soto32c300.01$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.927732.5%25 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Matias Soto37c278.44$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2522337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Matias Soto39c268.07$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.624,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Matias Soto29c253.87$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.722,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f39…fc0bbacked Matias Soto21c253.16$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1650%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Stefano Napolitano62c238.44$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6147552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Stefano Napolitano56c225.51$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.527,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Stefano Napolitano74c211.05$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.594,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Stefano Napolitano62c198.37$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3855660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Matias Soto37c197.3$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Stefano Napolitano65c183.78$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.519,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Stefano Napolitano66c182.19$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1936264.6%234 W · 128 L-1.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f65…c1d0backed Stefano Napolitano64c181$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1630349.8%151 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Stefano Napolitano56c172.1$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7213450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Stefano Napolitano62c161.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.542,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Stefano Napolitano61c157.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3248552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Matias Soto19c154.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2875312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Stefano Napolitano70c153.89$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8436554.2%198 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Stefano Napolitano56c146.04$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2610350.5%52 W · 51 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Matias Soto39c133.95$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.151,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Stefano Napolitano61c129.32$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9625756%144 W · 113 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Stefano Napolitano61c124$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3638955.3%215 W · 174 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Stefano Napolitano74c121.61$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.832,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Stefano Napolitano62c121.17$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.051,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Matias Soto28c103.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.22,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Stefano Napolitano75c101.81$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9991880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Stefano Napolitano63c101.3$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.481,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24fb…93e3backed Stefano Napolitano59c99.19$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.671566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd82…4068backed Stefano Napolitano56c96.39$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.412951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Stefano Napolitano56c86.65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1396844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Stefano Napolitano62c86.14$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7319754.8%108 W · 89 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5583…1fbbbacked Stefano Napolitano56c82.76$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.412166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Stefano Napolitano61c82.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9917958.1%104 W · 75 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c7…cb87backed Stefano Napolitano61c81.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.613756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecb0…e9c8backed Matias Soto44c80.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.351662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Matias Soto34c80$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.263746%293 W · 344 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Stefano Napolitano61c78.13$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4758453.1%310 W · 274 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Matias Soto37c78.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.881,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a2…27a0backed Stefano Napolitano63c77.6$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.71944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e5f…6cecbacked Matias Soto38c76.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0227749.8%138 W · 139 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Stefano Napolitano59c75.23$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8529958.5%175 W · 124 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb20f…5737backed Matias Soto34c74.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.383234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2641…062fbacked Matias Soto40c72.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.962142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Stefano Napolitano56c72.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.981,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Stefano Napolitano56c69.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.630853.6%165 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Matias Soto32c68.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.061,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Matias Soto33c60.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.153,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Matias Soto22c58.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8614533.1%48 W · 97 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef9c…5a32backed Matias Soto32c57.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.423956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed Stefano Napolitano63c55.62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.581643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Matias Soto37c52.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2433048.8%161 W · 169 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4158…4961backed Stefano Napolitano62c51.69$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.649744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Stefano Napolitano62c50.81$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3150259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Matias Soto32c49.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1633747.2%159 W · 178 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Stefano Napolitano66c45.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6332050%160 W · 160 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef0…db6fbacked Stefano Napolitano62c45.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2510060%60 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Stefano Napolitano60c44.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9634560%207 W · 138 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Matias Soto34c42.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4532043.8%140 W · 180 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Stefano Napolitano58c42.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6569253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Stefano Napolitano63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.654,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e0f…8b08backed Matias Soto33c39.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0525265.1%164 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.