South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Unión vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eb20137db49ad526123c39ccdffea238a352385ad9242a6aa9db149aed1de82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 18,960$13,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,513.98 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.98 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 5,844$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.36 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,153$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.74 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 31c | 1,857$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.02 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 1,631$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.16 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 450.07$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.02 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 46c | 382.56$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 54c | 223.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 70c | 180.31$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 43c | 174.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 148$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 62c | 78.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201b…9146backed Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…07bfbacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 459 | 46.8%215 W · 244 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 42c | 38.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…9802backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 45c | 30.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 25.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Unión vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Unión vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Unión vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.