Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x823a67a8b98a32696d305a5629948b22295fae3235cd018b3cf609f44340d972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 9,314$5,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,638.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 38c | 6,570$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.4 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 41c | 4,907$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.44 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 2,963$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.2 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,971$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.68 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 59c | 1,909$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.17 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 67c | 1,712$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.29 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 61c | 814.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.62 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 62c | 715.05$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.34 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 43c | 697.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.91 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 37c | 601.49$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.49 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Over | 41c | 533.16$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 61c | 296.25$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.41 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 63c | 260.32$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 40c | 252.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 223.87$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.98 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…dff2backed Over | 56c | 213.48$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 48c | 210.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Over | 61c | 162.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 40c | 158.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.15 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…d941backed Over | 65c | 155$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 39c | 132.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 39c | 131.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…bca7backed Over | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 43c | 118.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 34c | 105$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201b…9146backed Over | 38c | 100.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Under | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…e1b2backed Over | 39c | 98.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…7ae0backed Over | 37c | 81.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 66c | 81.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 42c | 71.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…7432backed Over | 70c | 69.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 41c | 66.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +10.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…72bdbacked Under | 59c | 61.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 54.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…8a33backed Over | 61c | 54.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Under | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Over | 42c | 47.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…4a59backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Over | 34c | 31.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 36c | 29.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 40c | 28.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c0…90f1backed Under | 60c | 25.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5this page
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.