Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf214102db8733810297c26f0f871e1df25da481bdc9b97044c02edbee97388d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 6,723$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.63 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 6,439$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.07 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 80c | 3,426$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.21 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 18c | 1,230$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.65 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…4a59backed Over | 79c | 1,139$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 19c | 911.65$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.23 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 21c | 800.95$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.46 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 80c | 699.74$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.95 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 30c | 692.88$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.96 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 73c | 600$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…d941backed Over | 75c | 269.97$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Over | 80c | 188.26$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Under | 21c | 165$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…768cbacked Over | 80c | 153.88$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 66c | 147.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 28c | 119.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 22c | 114.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 18c | 106.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 22c | 105.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 69c | 103$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…caa5backed Under | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…05f7backed Over | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 76c | 39.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 71c | 30.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…eb3dbacked Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 79c | 29.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…7309backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e56…3a1ebacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…e1b2backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5this page
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.