Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c4a5abb4bc3c02c3459666bb2f0bdf7a786433f7be2231c78b0dc6466ada2cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 5,359$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.84 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 3,275$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.64 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 44c | 2,833$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.01 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 55c | 2,620$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Over | 55c | 1,845$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…5a30backed Over | 58c | 1,739$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…9741backed Over | 57c | 1,366$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb86…cc67backed Under | 43c | 1,358$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 41c | 1,230$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Under | 48c | 1,150$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 58c | 1,009$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.95 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 51c | 869.37$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.64 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Over | 52c | 842.42$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 40c | 829.99$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Over | 56c | 759.09$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 702$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.77 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 52c | 673.02$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 57c | 597.92$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.01 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 48c | 580.9$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.83 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Over | 67c | 564.11$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 58c | 515.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 49c | 408.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 44c | 394.62$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.62 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 391.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.96 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 52c | 375$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 43c | 360.68$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 22c | 329.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 56c | 314.74$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.46 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 45c | 300$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 57c | 271.25$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 53c | 266.56$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.05 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 68c | 263.78$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.08 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Over | 58c | 262.07$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 42c | 238.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 45c | 224$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ce…5310backed Over | 57c | 210$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…0493backed Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 43c | 198.9$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 43c | 195.95$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 59c | 186.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 53c | 163.9$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 53c | 149.65$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…6d76backed Under | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -65%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 45c | 135$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 60c | 130.44$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…5796backed Over | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 43c | 117$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 45c | 115$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 58c | 114.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 57c | 103.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 37c | 102.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Over | 62c | 99.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 48c | 99.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0988…f6f9backed Over | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 48c | 88.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae3…8753backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…83a0backed Under | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…59dfbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 53c | 73.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 50c | 67.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 44c | 66.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…3b30backed Under | 67c | 65.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 24c | 58.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 50c | 55.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed Over | 49c | 51.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9765…a505backed Under | 44c | 38.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 52c | 36.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-1.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
- Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-2.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
- Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.