Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2c209548c2da7f58abbde09bb1cda7f154cac847c7872bdc3f66ab54617b0f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Under | 68c | 2,520$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.82 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 5c | 1,198$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 931.73$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.83 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 32c | 747.1$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.87 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 15c | 349.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 21c | 339.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 65c | 228$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 67c | 135$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae3…8753backed Over | 35c | 115.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 67c | 115$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 58c | 103.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 91.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 36c | 84.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 45c | 66.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 23c | 51.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 67c | 46.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 32.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 67c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 49c | 23.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed Under | 67c | 20.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +399.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…3b30backed Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-1.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
- Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-2.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
- Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.