South American Leagues · resolved market
Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16ce20e2839c8839986035068e4bcf92cfad13b077ef7a34a88374a1c041b941
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,268 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 6,151$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.96 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.98 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 2,812$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.48 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 1,644$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.2 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 37c | 1,302$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 44c | 749.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 559.89$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.74 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 47c | 542.55$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.55 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…7c65backed Over | 54c | 369.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 47c | 320.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 314.66$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.64 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 47c | 299$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 35c | 287.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 258.65$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 48c | 224.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 25c | 199.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 56c | 122.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Under | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 46c | 95.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 78.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 53.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 53.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 32c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 35c | 42.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2e…1e7bbacked Over | 55c | 36.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 34c | 33.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…8663backed Under | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…81c5backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 54c | 22.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 60c | 20.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 54c | 19.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…3367backed Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 67c | 15.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Monterrey: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.