Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7417ed009fc199a579a9a3df3a03b6d3fa0d00f4b5d461f258ccae4982af737

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Shiftersof Movistar KOI, Shifters
Resolved: Jul 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $54,907
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,907 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7e5e…7315backed Movistar KOI	58c	11,887$6,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,894.26	128	40.6%52 W · 76 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Shifters	44c	9,341$4,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,230.94	1,827	45.6%834 W · 993 L	+26.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked Movistar KOI	56c	9,160$5,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,124.95	108	34.3%37 W · 71 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe55a…ecf7backed Shifters	47c	7,012$3,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,742.48	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Shifters	42c	6,207$2,607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,599.81	592	48.3%286 W · 306 L	+15.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Shifters	42c	6,000$2,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,480	354	43.2%153 W · 201 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Movistar KOI	53c	5,000$2,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,650	474	55.3%262 W · 212 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Shifters	48c	3,705$1,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,926.6	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Shifters	48c	3,693$1,773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,920.29	143	42%60 W · 83 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Shifters	47c	3,188$1,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,702.76	644	43%277 W · 367 L	-27.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…2208backed Movistar KOI	54c	2,500$1,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,359.97	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-33%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x051b…a26ebacked Movistar KOI	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-5.6wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed Movistar KOI	56c	1,893$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060	179	47.5%85 W · 94 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Movistar KOI	55c	1,800$996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$996	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Movistar KOI	52c	1,792$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931.95	179	43.6%78 W · 101 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Movistar KOI	52c	1,707$887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$887.47	63	63.5%40 W · 23 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Shifters	46c	1,507$693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$813.8	890	50.6%450 W · 440 L	+14.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Shifters	42c	1,094$463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630.04	166	54.2%90 W · 76 L	+7.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Movistar KOI	54c	1,083$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.61	225	36.9%83 W · 142 L	-11.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Movistar KOI	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	624	51.4%321 W · 303 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Shifters	42c	999.99$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580	1,151	56%644 W · 507 L	+25.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Shifters	44c	950$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532	399	51.1%204 W · 195 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7a…8238backed Movistar KOI	60c	884.69$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.81	147	35.4%52 W · 95 L	-8.6wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98f3…3ca0backed Movistar KOI	55c	767.4$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked Movistar KOI	55c	718.18$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395	197	35%69 W · 128 L	-12.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Shifters	43c	649.02$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.15	1,047	50.3%527 W · 520 L	+37.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0160…1224backed Shifters	40c	622.93$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.93	236	39.8%94 W · 142 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Shifters	48c	600$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312	962	50.1%482 W · 480 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Movistar KOI	51c	564.9$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.1	294	47.6%140 W · 154 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Shifters	40c	500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	1,110	49%544 W · 566 L	+42.0wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b75…fa0ebacked Movistar KOI	52c	499.98$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.99	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.9wins	-0.18per pick	49cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Movistar KOI	59c	494.08$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.26	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Shifters	45c	440.17$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.06	444	51.8%230 W · 214 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed Movistar KOI	59c	430.93$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.81	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Movistar KOI	58c	430$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.4	81	32.1%26 W · 55 L	-9.6wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Shifters	53c	374.9$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.9	650	63.2%411 W · 239 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Movistar KOI	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	94	59.6%56 W · 38 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff1…98c0backed Shifters	47c	368.55$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.33	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	41cpaid	+145.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Shifters	46c	361.5$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.41	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa14e…abf6backed Shifters	49c	340$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.4	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Shifters	44c	278.81$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.33	1,024	45%461 W · 563 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Movistar KOI	52c	276.89$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.71	488	47.3%231 W · 257 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Movistar KOI	42c	258.62$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.62	348	49.1%171 W · 177 L	+11.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Movistar KOI	52c	256$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.12	227	48%109 W · 118 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Movistar KOI	52c	250$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	538	29.4%158 W · 380 L	-13.8wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Movistar KOI	52c	250$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	760	47%357 W · 403 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Shifters	48c	240$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.8	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Movistar KOI	53c	207.55$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	264	40.9%108 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Movistar KOI	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	215	48.4%104 W · 111 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Movistar KOI	52c	194$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.66	462	48.9%226 W · 236 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Movistar KOI	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	122	51.6%63 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Movistar KOI	58c	168.86$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.94	421	43.9%185 W · 236 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ca…2737backed Shifters	49c	163.27$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.27	112	64.3%72 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Shifters	46c	157.24$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.14	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Shifters	44c	142$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.52	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	+8.3wins	+0.12per pick	36cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Movistar KOI	19c	131.74$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.66	697	41.5%289 W · 408 L	-17.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Shifters	70c	125$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	2,495	47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L	-32.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Shifters	44c	113$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.28	132	40.9%54 W · 78 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Shifters	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	161	50.9%82 W · 79 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068d…2678backed Shifters	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	109	33%36 W · 73 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Shifters	42c	100$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	617	46.5%287 W · 330 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Movistar KOI	40c	98.7$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.48	389	31.9%124 W · 265 L	-14.5wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Shifters	56c	92.57$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.78	682	53.5%365 W · 317 L	-21.4wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked Movistar KOI	48c	90$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	363	31.1%113 W · 250 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Movistar KOI	52c	76.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	923	42.7%394 W · 529 L	-16.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…27d9backed Shifters	41c	73.17$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.17	396	52%206 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Shifters	40c	69$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	252	40.1%101 W · 151 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ec…f645backed Movistar KOI	53c	64$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Shifters	39c	61.39$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.45	960	48.8%468 W · 492 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Movistar KOI	61c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	612	56.2%344 W · 268 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Movistar KOI	58c	47.5$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.55	260	42.3%110 W · 150 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Shifters	48c	44.23$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.78	130	46.2%60 W · 70 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Shifters	45c	42.44$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.24	356	39.3%140 W · 216 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Movistar KOI	48c	41.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9e1…ba1fbacked Shifters	58c	39.32$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.53	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3637…8663backed Shifters	48c	33.33$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.33	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Movistar KOI	50c	29.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	317	50.8%161 W · 156 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82f3…5cd4backed Shifters	45c	26$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.3	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbef9…d257backed Movistar KOI	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)this page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonMovistar KOI won
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters - Game 1 WinnerShifters won
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event