South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a3bdb8f6d15ba9364a791dea14a977684c1450dc042a006b3054cb32e43173c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 60c | 10,369$6,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,214.72 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…0dc0backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed No | 40c | 7,373$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,459.26 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 68c | 3,907$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.76 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 33c | 2,959$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.59 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 2,571$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.79 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 32c | 1,999$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.05 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 62c | 1,858$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 1,774$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.16 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 67c | 1,697$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.96 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 50c | 1,409$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.85 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 31c | 1,176$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.44 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 29c | 1,113$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.12 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 69c | 1,010$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.9 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 50c | 950$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 11c | 912.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.27 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 29c | 903.47$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.13 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 29c | 831$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.01 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 4c | 774.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 60c | 717.59$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.11 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 698.85$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.92 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 29c | 689$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Yes | 72c | 610.73$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 64c | 606$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.03 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 33c | 513.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.57 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 71c | 500$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.99 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Yes | 7c | 474$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 49c | 450.02$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.51 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…4c44backed Yes | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 30c | 419.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 72c | 400$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 60c | 367.15$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeccc…a6a8backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 63c | 338$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.05 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked No | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 28c | 300$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.25 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 65c | 295$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.02 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 35c | 256.29$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.87 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 71c | 253.31$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 64c | 250.97$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.23 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 49c | 223.25$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.03 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 49c | 223.25$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.03 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 49c | 223.25$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.03 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 35c | 219.03$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.24 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 32c | 212.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 49c | 210.15$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.54 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 72c | 199$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 39c | 194.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.83 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696c…dbe6backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 66c | 163.49$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 36c | 161.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.02 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 50c | 159.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.09 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 25c | 149.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Yes | 68c | 147.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 29c | 143$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 18c | 137.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4347…690abacked Yes | 65c | 128.1$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 77c | 125$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 30c | 119.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Yes | 58c | 110.34$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c03…949bbacked Yes | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 49c | 102.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked No | 49c | 102.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 49c | 102.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 53c | 97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked No | 31c | 95.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 66c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 30c | 89.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…5c8cbacked Yes | 56c | 89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…2f32backed Yes | 27c | 85.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 31c | 85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 37c | 82.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…e058backed No | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ae…9ba6backed Yes | 50c | 80.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Yes | 29c | 80.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 44c | 73.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 57c | 69.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 68c | 69.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 49c | 67.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed Yes | 28c | 67.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Yes | 58c | 65.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 30c | 61.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes | 63c | 57.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 62c | 57.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 72c | 55.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 30c | 51.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…b169backed Yes | 29c | 47.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.