South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60b1ef935195ce9bcb0ba676dd261fdffa1b7d4873aef22d1ff4c6fe975cfbe7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlético San Luisof Deportivo Toluca FC, Atlético San Luis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Deportivo Toluca FC | 37c | 4,428$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.2 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Atlético San Luis | 58c | 1,659$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.73 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Atlético San Luis | 64c | 1,260$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Deportivo Toluca FC | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Deportivo Toluca FC | 47c | 724$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.36 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Atlético San Luis | 69c | 653.72$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.46 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlético San Luis | 60c | 627.5$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…1376backed Deportivo Toluca FC | 37c | 540.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Atlético San Luis | 67c | 488.47$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.37 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlético San Luis | 65c | 345.79$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Atlético San Luis | 52c | 313.34$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Atlético San Luis | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Deportivo Toluca FC | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Atlético San Luis | 67c | 165.78$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Atlético San Luis | 67c | 165.78$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Atlético San Luis | 54c | 149$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Atlético San Luis | 71c | 129.49$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Deportivo Toluca FC | 32c | 117.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Atlético San Luis | 72c | 115.73$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…b8c4backed Deportivo Toluca FC | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Atlético San Luis | 76c | 96.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Atlético San Luis | 68c | 89.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Atlético San Luis | 68c | 89.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Atlético San Luis | 57c | 79.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Atlético San Luis | 57c | 79.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Atlético San Luis | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Deportivo Toluca FC | 33c | 71.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Atlético San Luis | 70c | 71.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Atlético San Luis | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Atlético San Luis | 76c | 65.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Atlético San Luis | 76c | 65.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Deportivo Toluca FC | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Atlético San Luis | 63c | 60.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Deportivo Toluca FC | 31c | 57.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Deportivo Toluca FC | 39c | 54.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Deportivo Toluca FC | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Atlético San Luis | 64c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Deportivo Toluca FC | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Deportivo Toluca FC | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Deportivo Toluca FC | 30c | 43.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Deportivo Toluca FC | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…a025backed Deportivo Toluca FC | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…d28abacked Atlético San Luis | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Deportivo Toluca FC | 35c | 39.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Atlético San Luis | 56c | 39.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Deportivo Toluca FC | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Atlético San Luis | 59c | 32.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Atlético San Luis | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…8663backed Deportivo Toluca FC | 48c | 31.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Atlético San Luis | 65c | 30.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Atlético San Luis | 53c | 30.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Atlético San Luis | 58c | 29.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Atlético San Luis | 56c | 28.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5e…f08abacked Atlético San Luis | 71c | 21.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Atlético San Luis | 63c | 19.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)this page
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5Under won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5Under won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)Deportivo Toluca FC won
- Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-2.5)Atlético San Luis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.