South American Leagues · resolved market
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64c34fc2ccf0703737c20038bc873ebe3c238cbd1466de7a3a4b8465d2099b8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Over | 50c | 8,663$4,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,341.95 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 2,119$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.77 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 35c | 1,699$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.78 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 55c | 1,138$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.37 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 59c | 840.72$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 627.57$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.75 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 50c | 555$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 55c | 378.15$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.38 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f4…2a4abacked Over | 76c | 325$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 50c | 294.74$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.37 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 17c | 291.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 55c | 289.9$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.21 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 55c | 289.9$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.21 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 55c | 289.9$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.21 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 50c | 288.82$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.97 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 54c | 288.1$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.14 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 54c | 288$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.09 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 54c | 288$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.09 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 54c | 288$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.09 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 56c | 279.13$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 54c | 257$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 34c | 235$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 43c | 210.41$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 209.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.97 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 48c | 208.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 56c | 197.86$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.85 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 50c | 191.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.85 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 171.64$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed Over | 53c | 151.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Over | 26c | 150$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 58c | 120.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 58c | 120.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 43c | 113.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 37c | 113$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…c953backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 71c | 92.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 61c | 89.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 63c | 82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 59c | 77.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 41c | 74.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Over | 41c | 70.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 40c | 66.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 70c | 63.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Under | 54c | 61.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…b8c4backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…cfa6backed Under | 48c | 51.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…76dfbacked Under | 63c | 47.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 61c | 45.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Over | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Over | 44c | 34.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Under | 47c | 32.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked Under | 65c | 30.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 46c | 29.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 67c | 24.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 67c | 24.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Under | 61c | 21.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed Over | 54c | 21.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ae…9ba6backed Under | 60c | 20.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…7ed0backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…79afbacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 71c | 18.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 67c | 16.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 1.5this page
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5Under won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5Under won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)Deportivo Toluca FC won
- Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)Atlético San Luis won
- Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-2.5)Atlético San Luis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.