F1 · resolved market
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8fef695b132a8193e926594987a252593b01449e3bd60dc81fce3e4555d2242
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,676 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 63c | 2,119$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.04 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 69c | 1,743$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.76 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…9924backed Yes | 49c | 1,427$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 60c | 1,153$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.69 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 55c | 968.79$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.15 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…946dbacked Yes | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 39c | 692.46$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…b0e9backed No | 55c | 643.6$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 53c | 484.13$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.01 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 37c | 442.4$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.23 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b0c1backed No | 60c | 426.36$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc915…20c8backed Yes | 50c | 397.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 79c | 366.7$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 59c | 358.24$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d7…1334backed Yes | 52c | 351.67$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 65c | 250.95$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 36c | 249.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.26 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06f…4cc3backed Yes | 42c | 237.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…f11ebacked Yes | 42c | 237.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab2…a2b7backed Yes | 43c | 230.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 47c | 222.61$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 63c | 211.52$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f9…9c18backed Yes | 47c | 189.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked No | 62c | 187.35$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 44c | 172$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Yes | 67c | 159.34$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…e39bbacked Yes | 63c | 158.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…7667backed Yes | 37c | 135.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…ac3ebacked Yes | 38c | 130.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…7bfbbacked Yes | 39c | 127.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked No | 64c | 125.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98b0…43c2backed Yes | 37c | 112.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…4073backed No | 19c | 110.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +191.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…3ddfbacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e74…178ebacked Yes | 57c | 105.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 30c | 100.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd9…ad71backed No | 63c | 99.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 25c | 99.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…0eefbacked Yes | 37c | 89.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes | 35c | 87.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…8f5bbacked No | 60c | 83.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 39c | 77.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f8…0e5dbacked Yes | 39c | 77.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…c4b2backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…fb8fbacked Yes | 40c | 70.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac31…c7bdbacked No | 57c | 69.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…4f13backed Yes | 43c | 69.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 32c | 67.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 40c | 65.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…58abbacked Yes | 37c | 65.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 16c | 64.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed No | 59c | 61.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed No | 64c | 61.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f10…fd78backed Yes | 41c | 60.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 21c | 55.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0647…8f61backed Yes | 41c | 55.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…7e45backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…e267backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…ada3backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed No | 60c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…a7c0backed Yes | 41c | 48.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f72…3841backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…0bd2backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459c…0b30backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ce…1da9backed Yes | 48c | 41.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1caebacked Yes | 54c | 40.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7575…05f7backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…a515backed Yes | 39c | 37.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ba…5afbbacked No | 54c | 37.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…d211backed Yes | 42c | 35.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…aea9backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49d…cfcabacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…6c8ebacked Yes | 37c | 31.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…d132backed Yes | 41c | 27.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…4c0abacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8f…8b2dbacked No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbc…0c54backed No | 60c | 21.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Yes | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…3387backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ba…97d0backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 60c | 17.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.