La Liga · resolved market
Real Zaragoza vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7777daca968ef13816ff09fd3abefd2e670b461f891fcbe78751fe3f928a5c33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,482 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed Over | 48c | 2,081$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 15c | 1,249$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.53 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 898.14$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.15 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 53c | 602.85$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.34 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 47c | 452.1$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.49 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Under | 52c | 166.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 159.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 49c | 126.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 15c | 119$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 76c | 113.25$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ba…5afbbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 37c | 72.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 48c | 71.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 17c | 67.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 53c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Over | 46c | 53.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 22.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d61…96c5backed Under | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Zaragoza vs. UD Almería: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Zaragoza vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Zaragoza vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Zaragoza vs. UD Almería: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Zaragoza vs. UD Almería: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.