Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b52d92090dd9a2ad422a3eb39ac60ea3d3262780e497984ae2bf7eeaab86c97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 14,128$10,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.26 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 14c | 9,690$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.66 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 9,121$7,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.7 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf935…3dd1backed Yes | 21c | 7,909$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 15c | 6,224$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.51 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 5,074$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.6 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.98 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.98 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 2,716$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.27 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…2b76backed Yes | 57c | 1,900$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 34c | 1,736$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.12 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 59c | 1,706$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 43c | 1,698$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.67 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…a431backed Yes | 57c | 1,673$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 43c | 1,145$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 1,096$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.14 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 42c | 1,055$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.77 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 999.97$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.48 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 43c | 965$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.05 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x650e…9147backed Yes | 29c | 770.96$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 57c | 559.64$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc610…fd2dbacked Yes | 58c | 559.57$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed No | 43c | 499.97$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 59c | 424.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.47 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…c3cbbacked Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 74c | 386.3$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.26 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…26adbacked No | 44c | 357.7$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…f136backed Yes | 57c | 355.65$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 350.87$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 46c | 328.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 51c | 269.06$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.17 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 56c | 230$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 15c | 210.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c1…6fb8backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed No | 42c | 195$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 188.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3014…4ecdbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…a92fbacked Yes | 28c | 160.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked No | 44c | 154.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f1…0c18backed No | 44c | 133$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 43c | 120.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…2b5cbacked Yes | 43c | 108.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…ea82backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…20efbacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 34c | 91.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes | 28c | 82.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 43c | 81.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Yes | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 22c | 71.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 57c | 66.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 26c | 66.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 26c | 65.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…b668backed Yes | 56c | 65.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 60c | 57.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…0b09backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…8a7dbacked Yes | 57c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…0dfebacked Yes | 52c | 47.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75d…790bbacked Yes | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked No | 46c | 42.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…9802backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 107 | 71%76 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2706…437dbacked Yes | 57c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 77c | 36.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…0ab3backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 35.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…8e2ebacked Yes | 57c | 34.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 44c | 33.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…baf8backed Yes | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed No | 45c | 31.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 45c | 24.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ba…5afbbacked Yes | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…472ebacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 69c | 14.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…10dabacked No | 78c | 13.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.