TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,507
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,507 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2e65…4994backed Under52c5,747$2,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.722544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Under52c2,030$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.42060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over48c1,616$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.691,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c1,437$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.851550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c1,417$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.751,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Over49c1,109$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.6383652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over29c1,097$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.352,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under50c1,054$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.9386649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c1,032$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51620756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Over2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16504%2 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-25.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over42c843.12$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.352,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33676950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over48c619$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.126414.1%9 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over55c546.67$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.1438551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Over49c392.66$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.48252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under52c382.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.7425449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55fb…a3acbacked Under58c366.76$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.243560%21 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over38c338.41$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.642,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over11c320.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.512,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over50c261$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.533950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12028842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc66b…1435backed Under51c238.57$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.571764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f75…df7fbacked Under64c232.81$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.811723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.8wins-0.34per pick57cpaid-58.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under75c212.91$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2311949.6%59 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c163.5$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.563,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over46c132.63$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.161,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over48c129.15$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4815444.8%69 W · 85 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Over50c116.5$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8112763.8%81 W · 46 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1998…be8cbacked Under55c111.62$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Over50c105.86$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9311050.9%56 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under56c91$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9725345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c88.32$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.162,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Over50c81.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.768151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over50c77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.59047.8%43 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over49c76.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7321155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.321651.4%111 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under56c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5582353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d72…5f50backed Over44c68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.921241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Over50c66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Over50c65.24$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.623237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13fe…54e5backed Over50c65.24$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.62837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under69c64.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.051,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over50c63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.512551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c55.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9659450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bc…ec35backed Under51c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.952142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked Under51c50.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9817227.3%47 W · 125 L-17.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x114d…3b5fbacked Over49c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e4…6ee4backed Over50c47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.53542.9%15 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over50c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.515248%73 W · 79 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under57c43.91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8992049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over50c39.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6666552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over50c36.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2345651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Over50c36.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under51c35.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.335553%188 W · 167 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over35c35.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.271520%3 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Under76c30.61$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4518557.8%107 W · 78 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.78552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3972…81f6backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Over50c26.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.496341.3%26 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over50c26.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0812758.3%74 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5751…dc0abacked Over50c26.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Under59c25.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.378850%44 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under51c25.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.335569.1%38 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under51c25.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.334273.8%31 W · 11 L+6.8wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+26.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under51c25.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.338060%48 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xede8…97a8backed Under52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Over49c24.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1114347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7f…657ebacked Over56c24.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-44%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3012…8470backed Over48c24.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e81…bcdfbacked Over48c24.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f6b…db02backed Over48c23.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2249…c958backed Over48c23.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb624…6147backed Under52c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b8…b29abacked Over48c22.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60d…03a8backed Over50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2398…0b07backed Under52c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a39…1a00backed Over49c21.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cec…8cc3backed Over48c21.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7119…dfbebacked Over48c21.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf903…ef54backed Over48c20.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf86…b1c1backed Under73c20.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.57763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ba7…d8aabacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105658.9%33 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceae…fd1ebacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3761…2ff2backed Under52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bf…c588backed Under52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Under56c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4313552.6%71 W · 64 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under60c18.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3317456.3%98 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under60c18.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.325269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.