NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac8fc85c1fd293d00e3fd221e09b4d8a7337a9767889c161bfaca25e368c016e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e65…4994backed Under | 52c | 5,747$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.72 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Under | 52c | 2,030$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 1,616$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.69 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 1,437$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.8 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 1,417$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.75 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Over | 49c | 1,109$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.63 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 29c | 1,097$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.35 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 50c | 1,054$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.93 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 1,032$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Over | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 843.12$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 48c | 619$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.12 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 55c | 546.67$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.14 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Over | 49c | 392.66$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 52c | 382.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.74 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…a3acbacked Under | 58c | 366.76$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.24 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 38c | 338.41$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 320.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 50c | 261$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…1435backed Under | 51c | 238.57$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…df7fbacked Under | 64c | 232.81$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.8wins | -0.34per pick | 57cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 75c | 212.91$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 163.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 46c | 132.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 48c | 129.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 50c | 116.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1998…be8cbacked Under | 55c | 111.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Over | 50c | 105.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 56c | 91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 88.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Over | 50c | 81.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 50c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 76.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…5f50backed Over | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Over | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Over | 50c | 65.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fe…54e5backed Over | 50c | 65.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 69c | 64.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Over | 50c | 63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 55.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…ec35backed Under | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Under | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…3b5fbacked Over | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Over | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 57c | 43.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 39.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 50c | 36.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 50c | 36.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 51c | 35.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Over | 35c | 35.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 76c | 30.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…81f6backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Over | 50c | 26.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 50c | 26.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5751…dc0abacked Over | 50c | 26.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 59c | 25.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 51c | 25.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 51c | 25.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 51c | 25.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede8…97a8backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Over | 49c | 24.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked Over | 56c | 24.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3012…8470backed Over | 48c | 24.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e81…bcdfbacked Over | 48c | 24.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6b…db02backed Over | 48c | 23.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…c958backed Over | 48c | 23.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…6147backed Under | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…b29abacked Over | 48c | 22.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…0b07backed Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Over | 49c | 21.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cec…8cc3backed Over | 48c | 21.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7119…dfbebacked Over | 48c | 21.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…ef54backed Over | 48c | 20.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…b1c1backed Under | 73c | 20.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba7…d8aabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…fd1ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…2ff2backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…c588backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 60c | 18.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 60c | 18.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. OilersGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.