TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 154.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,875
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,875 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2537…bff9backed Under50c97,656$49,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,615.5744452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Over50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00012754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c22,549$11,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,196.0512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00010745.8%49 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Over50c15,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5006758.2%39 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c14,500$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2501,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Over50c14,500$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,25078155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over52c12,198$6,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,365.6174051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over50c10,741$5,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,377.4423248.3%112 W · 120 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under47c10,000$4,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,318.2230139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c6,275$3,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,137.517643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00014654.1%79 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Under49c5,926$2,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,992.8512054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over51c5,439$2,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.3327947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under50c5,034$2,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,518.3811048.2%53 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55027851.1%142 W · 136 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Over51c4,500$2,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.52339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5305466.7%36 W · 18 L+8.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53012358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over53c2,830$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50021248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c2,297$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.6215557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over51c2,296$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.495,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over50c2,168$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.0689850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over53c2,037$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.2242246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98028539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Over54c1,800$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97229845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under48c1,563$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.525130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70015447.4%73 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5204548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over53c801.89$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42555749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Over51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under48c583.5$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.4797447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Over53c531.91$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.914161%25 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over50c505.01$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5174649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcf0…f4b7backed Over50c505$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26014150.4%71 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25056444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Over50c435$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.532146.7%150 W · 171 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over50c432.12$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.569350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21282048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over50c360.22$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1121347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under46c246.3$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0942339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over53c238$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.141,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over51c220$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.212251.6%63 W · 59 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over53c207.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11023754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011957.1%68 W · 51 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e11…45ecbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Over50c181.25$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6341354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over51c156.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011445.6%52 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Over50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709551.6%49 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under47c121.69$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.558345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Over50c112$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5621443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over49c106.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.193,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80c3…ed8fbacked Over53c106.38$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028354.1%153 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Over50c90.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4813852.2%72 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0f…e949backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Over51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4049849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over52c76.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over55c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.51,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8e…22c3backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306648.5%32 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.619445.9%89 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over52c59.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0799848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55fb…a3acbacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-49.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa99e…fa3dbacked Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7d7…da51backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Under48c36.97$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2242751.8%221 W · 206 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.734952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4bb…15eebacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb58c…5fc5backed Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over51c23.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.38556.5%48 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58ac…7e1fbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.